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[monks data]
Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Lamex Stadium
Scunthorpe United

Stevenage
1 - 1
Scunthorpe

Norris (6')
Prosser (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hippolyte (14')
Rowe (39'), Pugh (83')

Preview: Stevenage vs. Scunthorpe United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Scunthorpe United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Paul Tisdale will take charge of his first home game as Stevenage manager when his team welcome Scunthorpe United to the Lamex Stadium on Tuesday.

The hosts head into the encounter three points above the drop zone, while Scunthorpe are rooted to the foot of the table after accumulating just 14 points this term.


Match preview

Paul Tisdale pictured in March 2019© Reuters

Tisdale is yet to see his side play a league game with his first two matches in charge of the Boro coming in cup competitions.

Unfortunately for the new boss, he has seen his new team eliminated from both the EFL Trophy and the FA Cup in consecutive games.

In his first match, Stevenage played out a goalless draw with Sutton United in the EFL Trophy, but their opponents prevailed on penalties to progress.

The former Exeter City boss then took his side to Yeovil Town on Saturday with a Charlie Wakefield goal enough to eliminate Tisdale's side from the FA Cup.

Stevenage have issues at both ends of the pitch after conceding 30 goals in the league this season, while only scoring 15, but Tisdale will be confident that he is the man to change their fortunes.

Like his opposite number, Keith Hill is still looking for his first win as Scunthorpe boss after six games at the helm.

Tuesday's visitors are winless in their last seven competitive fixtures, but three draws in their previous four outings suggest that they are heading in the right direction.

With no game at the weekend, Scunthorpe's last fixture was a 1-1 draw with Bradford City on November 27, and a ten-day break will ensure they are well-rested ahead of Tuesday's encounter.

Despite leaking goals in their last five games, Scunthorpe can be encouraged by the fact that they have scored in each of those fixtures.

Although, they are yet to win on the road this season, and Hill will know that if his side are to avoid the drop then they need to start collecting victories on their travels.

Stevenage League Two form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

Stevenage form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

Scunthorpe United League Two form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D

Scunthorpe United form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D



Team News

Keith Hill in charge of Rochdale in December 2018© Reuters

Elliot List has scored eight of Stevenage's 15 league goals this season, and the forward will be aiming to add to his impressive tally against Scunthorpe.

Luke Norris is the only other Stevenage player to have scored more than once this season, but the 28-year-old will have to settle for a place on the bench, with Jamie Reid set to partner List upfront.

Tisdale brought Bruno Andrade into the starting lineup for the Yeovil encounter, and he is likely to keep his place for Tuesday.

Meanwhile, Jake Scrimshaw has top-scored for Scunthorpe this season, netting on three occasions in League Two and the 21-year-old with be joined in the forward line by Aaron Jarvis.

After consecutive draws, Hill will want to maintain a settled side, which could see changes kept to a minimum for Tuesday's encounter.

Stevenage possible starting lineup:
Smith; Wildin, Vancooten, Prosser, Melbourne; Osborne, Taylor, Reeves, Andrade; List, Reid

Scunthorpe United possible starting lineup:
O'Hara; Millen, Onariase, Taft, Thompson; Hippolyte, Perry, Kenyon, Beestin; Jarvis, Scrimshaw


SM words green background

We say: Stevenage 1-0 Scunthorpe United

With only four points separating the sides in the league table it will be a close fought encounter, but given their poor away record, we think that Scunthorpe will fall short with Stevenage claiming all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Stevenage vs Scunthorpe

Stevenage
27.3%
Draw
45.5%
Scunthorpe United
27.3%
11
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