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Shakhtar Donetsk
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
Inter logo

Shakhtar
0 - 0
Inter Milan

FT

Bastoni (31'), Vidal (64')

Preview: Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Inter Milan - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Inter Milan, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Inter Milan travel to Kiev on Tuesday, to take on the unlikely heroes of the first Champions League matchday, Shakhtar Donetsk.

In a quick-fire reprise of their Europa League semi-final just two months ago, the Italian giants take on the conquerors of Real Madrid at the Olympic Stadium.


Match preview

Real Madrid's Thibaut Courtois reacts after Raphael Varane scores an own goal against Shakhtar Donetsk in the Champions League on October 21, 2020© Reuters

Shakhtar Donetsk begin their 'home' Champions League campaign, in the Ukrainian capital, buoyed by the stunning opening night upset of a decidedly off-colour Real Madrid.

With confidence now soaring, they will have a sweet dose of revenge in mind, given their heavy defeat by Inter in last season's Europa League final tournament.

Incredibly, Shakhtar were 3-0 up at half-time in their opening Group B fixture at Estadio Alfredo Di Stefano and, though the home side fought back in the second half, they held out for a deserved 3-2 victory.

It was all the more incredible a feat, as Luis Castro's fearless team contained eight players under the age of 23 after an ill-timed COVID-19 outbreak pre-match.

Brazilian winger Tete and Israeli forward Manor Solomon struck in the first half, either side of Raphael Varane's own goal, to humble the 13-time champions and grab global attention.

Meanwhile, Inter needed a 90th-minute strike from go-to goal-getter Romelu Lukaku to salvage a 2-2 opening draw at home to Borussia Monchengladbach. It was Lukaku's second of the night; remarkably he has now scored in nine successive matches in UEFA club competition.

Inter Milan's Romelu Lukaku celebrates scoring against Bayer Leverkusen on August 10, 2020© Reuters

One of those games included his late double in the 5-0 thumping of the Ukrainian champions in Dusseldorf. Now, the same teams meet again in what promises to be a closely fought Group B.

Despite that opening victory in Madrid, Castro's men have won only three of their last 14 Champions League matches, losing five.

Inter have fared no better, having won only two of their last 11 games at the elite continental level. They are, however, undefeated in their nine European encounters with Ukrainian sides, winning the last four.

On Saturday, Antonio Conte's side won for the first time in four games in all competitions, Danilo D'Ambrosio and the ever reliable Lukaku getting the goals in a 2-0 Serie A success at Genoa. The Belgian marksman now has 10 goals in nine games for club and country so far this term and has scored in each of his last five outings.

Tuesday's hosts could only draw their home league game with Vorskla, even though their opponents went down to 10 men early in the second half. Unsurprisingly, the euphoric high of last Wednesday was curtailed by rather more pedestrian matters in a domestic league which they have utterly dominated in recent years.

Although the atmosphere will not be at full force for the visit of Inter - considering Shakhtar's enforced re-location from the Donbass Arena and the fact that only up to 30% of capacity can be filled by local fans - it promises to be a more closely contested encounter than last time.

Shakhtar Donetsk Champions League form: W
Shakhtar Donetsk form (all competitions): WDWWD

Inter Milan Champions League form: D
Inter Milan form (all competitions): WDLDW


Team News

Shakhtar Donetsk's Junior Moraes celebrates scoring against Wolfsburg in the Europa League on August 5, 2020© Reuters

Left-back Ismaily and mercurial winger Yevhen Konoplyanka are not ready to return to the Shakhtar squad until next month at the earliest.

Serhiy Kryvtsov and Viktor Kovalenko will also miss out, as does star forward Junior Moraes, who continues to recover from COVID-19. Dentinho will lead the attack in his absence.

Inter midfielder Matias Vecino continues to recuperate from a knee injury, while Milan Skriniar and Roberto Gagliardini are still in isolation after testing positive for COVID-19.

Achraf Hakimi's 'false positive' test before last week's opener was followed by a subsequent negative result and, after coming off the bench at the weekend in Genoa, he should return to Conte's starting XI.

Alexis Sanchez was replaced at half time against Gladbach after injuring his right thigh and was absent on Saturday, while Stefano Sensi has missed Inter's last two games with a thigh problem - offering hope to Christian Eriksen of a rare start.

Shakhtar Donetsk possible starting lineup:
Trubin; Dodo, Bondar, Khocholava, Kornienko; Maycon, Tete, Marlos, Alan Patrick, Solomon; Dentinho

Inter Milan possible starting lineup:
Handanovic; D'Ambrosio, Bastoni, Kolarov; Hakimi, Barella, Vidal, Eriksen, Perisic; Martinez, Lukaku


SM words green background

We say: Shakhtar Donetsk 1-2 Inter Milan

Inter got back on track with a regulation victory at Marassi, after a demoralising derby defeat had threatened to derail their campaign before it had really begun and, with Lukaku still unstoppable, can now register a first Champions League win of the season.

Though Shakhtar pulled off one of the shocks of the decade - admittedly it is less than a year old, but there have been plenty of shocks from all angles - repeating the feat may be just a step too far for Luis Castro's depleted side.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
QBayern651016
QCopenhagen62228
3Galatasaray61235
4Man Utd61144

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
QArsenal641113
QPSV62319
3Lens62228
4Sevilla60242

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
QReal Madrid660018
QNapoli631210
3Braga61144
4Union Berlin60242

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
QReal Sociedad633012
QInter Milan633012
3Benfica61144
4Salzburg61144

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
QAtletico642014
QLazio631210
3Feyenoord62046
4Celtic61144

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
QDortmund632111
QPSG62228
3AC Milan62228
4Newcastle61235

Group G

TeamPWDLPTS
QMan City660018
QRB Leipzig640212
3Young Boys61144
4Red Star60151

Group H

TeamPWDLPTS
QBarcelona640212
QPorto640212
3Shakhtar63039
4Antwerp61053


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