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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 34
Sep 19, 2021 at 9pm UK
PPL Park
Orlando City

Philadelphia
3 - 1
Orlando City

Wagner (37'), Przybylko (61', 89' pen.)
Flach (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ruan (57')
Schlegel (33'), Ruan (59'), Michel (75'), Gallese (80'), Jansson (80'), Aguilera (86')
Carlos (88')

Preview: Philadelphia Union vs. Orlando City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Philadelphia Union could leapfrog Atlanta United into the playoff positions with a win against Orlando City on Sunday, which would also take Jim Curtin's side to within three points of this weekend's visitors, with a game in hand.

New England Revolution are seemingly running away with the Eastern Conference title, and third-placed Orlando are likely to now turn their focus to finishing the season strongly and securing a top-seven finish.


Match preview

Philadelphia Union midfielder Quinn Sullivan celebrates his goal with teammates on June 27, 2021© Reuters

Philadelphia are not in good form, and spirits within their squad will have dropped after disappointment in the semi-finals of the CONCACAF Champions League.

Curtin's side had to turn around a two-goal deficit in the second leg against Mexican outfit Club America, but that final game of the semi-final wrote the same story as the first leg, with the match ending 2-0 to Club America.

The home side did put pressure on Club America - and the visitors' goalkeeper Guillermo Ochoa had to produce a man-of-the-match display to keep Union out - but it was not enough for Philadelphia to make it to the final in their first-ever appearance in that competition.

Philadelphia did not enter that second-leg tie in good form, having lost their previous two domestic fixtures, with their last league defeat coming against table-toppers New England.

Matt Polster had given New England a 1-0 lead and Arnor Ingvi Traustason was sent off in the second half, but Union could not take advantage of their extra player and the league leaders held on for all three points.

Curtin's team need to get back to winning ways in the Eastern Conference if they want to break into the top seven, and perhaps without the distraction of the Champions League, that will allow Philadelphia to finish the domestic season strongly.

Orlando City SC head coach Oscar Pareja walks off the field at the end of the game against FC Cincinnati at TQL Stadium on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Orlando also enter this game after two disappointing results, losing to Atlanta United and most recently falling to Montreal, in what was their first defeat at home in the league since July 4.

Robin Jansson and Ruan did well to level the scoreline at 2-2 after Nani had been shown two yellow cards in the first half, but Montreal regained their two-goal advantage before Andres Perea was the second Orlando player to be given his marching orders by the referee.

That result means that Oscar Pareja's side have conceded seven goals in their last two games, but they will be keen to keep a clean sheet at Subaru Park on Sunday, as Philadelphia have failed to score more than one goal in a single game in their last seven matches.

Orlando did get the better of Curtin's side the last time these two teams met, thanks to goals from Benji Michel and Perea, but Philadelphia's home form is better than their away record.

Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

Philadelphia Union form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Orlando City Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Orlando City SC midfielder Nani (17) reacts after scoring a goal against FC Cincinnati in the second half at TQL Stadium on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Philadelphia midfielder Ilsinho will be absent from the matchday squad on Sunday after picking up an injury at the end of August, which will rule him out until at least the end of this month.

Curtin made six changes to the side which started in the Champions League on Thursday, suggesting that the manager rested players in their last MLS match against New England, therefore he is expected to make similar changes from the team which last lined up in the league.

Centre-back Jack Elliott was not involved in Union's last league game after picking up his sixth yellow card of the season, but he is likely to come back into the starting 11 alongside Jakob Glesnes in defence.

Nani and Perea will both serve their suspensions on Sunday after being sent off against Montreal, meaning that Junior Urso could drop into a deeper midfield role with Chris Mueller and Michel coming into the team.

Alexandre Pato and Jhegson Mendez are unavailable for selection this weekend due to injury, but the pair do only have 10 appearances between them this season.

Philadelphia Union possible starting lineup:
Blake; Wagner, Elliott, Glesnes, Mbaizo; Flach, Martinez, Bedoya; Gazdag; Monteiro, Przybylko

Orlando City possible starting lineup:
Gallese; Mas, Jansson, Carlos, Ruan; Urso; Mueller, Pereira, Michel, Van der Water; Dike


SM words green background

We say: Philadelphia Union 1-1 Orlando City

Both sides will want to end their losing streak, meaning that the game could be quite cagey as neither team will want to leave themselves vulnerable defensively.

A point a piece would not be the worst result for either team, as it will keep Philadelphia in touch of the top seven, and it will mean Orlando are a point closer to securing a playoff position.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Orlando City

Philadelphia Union
15.4%
Draw
30.8%
Orlando City
53.8%
13
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami94321914515
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls8431117415
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
4Columbus Crew8341107313
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati833287112
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta7322127511
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC832398111
8DC United82421212010
9CF MontrealMontreal73131014-410
10Toronto8314812-410
11Chicago Fire82331114-39
12New York City FCNY City822479-28
13Orlando City7223813-58
14Nashville SCNashville7142813-57
15New England RevolutionNew England7115513-84

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy84311712515
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7412159613
3Houston DynamoHouston741297213
4Real Salt LakeSalt Lake8332118312
5Colorado RapidsColorado83321312112
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles83231312111
7St Louis City82511211111
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7322109111
9Sporting Kansas CityKansas82421413110
10Portland TimbersPortland8233161609
11Austin FCAustin82331113-29
12Seattle SoundersSeattle71339726
13Dallas7124610-45
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes81071020-103


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