MX23RW : Friday, March 29 12:55:22| >> :600:26344967:26344967:
[monks data]
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Mata Real
Farense logo

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 2
Farense


Costa (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gauld (77' pen.), Isidoro (84')
Cesar (29')

Preview: Pacos de Ferreira vs. SC Farense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Pacos de Ferreira welcome SC Farense to the Estadio da Mata Real on Tuesday, with both sides looking to end three-game losing runs.

A poor run has seen Farense drop into the bottom two of the Primeira Liga table, while their hosts sit comfortably in fifth place despite their dip in form.


Match preview

Pacos de Ferreira head coach Pepa pictured in June 2020© Reuters

Pacos de Ferreira suffered a disappointing defeat last time out, as they travelled to take on strugglers Boavista.

A Yusupha Njie goal put the hosts ahead early on, and Angel Gomes doubled his side's lead with a penalty on the stroke of half time, condemning Pepa's side to their ninth league defeat of the season.

Before that, Os Castores were on the wrong end of a 5-0 thrashing when they hosted Benfica, as Diogo Goncalves, Rafa Silva and Darwin Nunez all got on the scoresheet alongside a Haris Seferovic brace.

After a strong first half of the season, Pepa's side have since dipped in form, now sitting 11 points behind fourth-placed Braga, having previously pushed to break into the top four for the possibility of European qualification.

They will look to return to winning ways on Tuesday, as they host another side in a poor run of form.

Farense have seen their survival hopes get slimmer in recent weeks, after losing three consecutive games in the top flight.

In February, the board opted to dismiss manager Sergio Vieira with the side sat worryingly close to the threat of relegation, replacing the promotion-winning manager with Jorge Costa.

Costa has failed to reverse the fortunes of Os Leoes de Faro though, having picked up just two wins and 11 points from his 12 games at the helm.

They suffered a narrow defeat at home to league leaders Sporting Lisbon last time out, as a Pedro Goncalves goal in the first half was the difference between the sides.

While that result is by no means disappointing considering the league positions, it did take their losing run to three matches, while they have lost five of their last six games.

As a result, Os Leoes de Faro now find themselves in the automatic drop zone, currently sitting two points behind Maritimo in the relegation playoff place and five points adrift of automatic safety.

With only 21 points left to play for before the end of the season, Costa's men will know that they need to quickly start picking up results if they are to stand a chance of avoiding immediate relegation back down to the second tier.

The former Porto defender will feel that his side have to start with a much-needed win against a struggling Pacos de Ferreira side on Tuesday.

Pacos de Ferreira Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L

SC Farense Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Pacos de Ferreira head coach Pepa pictured in June 2020© Reuters

Pacos de Ferreira come into Tuesday's match with a clean bill of health, with no major concerns for Pepa.

They will be boosted by the return of Stephen Eustaquio, after the midfielder served a suspension last time out.

He is expected to come straight back into the starting lineup, joining Bruno Costa and Luiz Carlos in the centre of the pitch.

Luther Singh will also be hoping to return to the starting side after he was on the bench for the defeat to Boavista.

Experienced goalkeeper Beto will continue between the sticks for Farense, as Rafael Defendi remains out through injury.

Meanwhile, Madi Queta and Nikola Stojiljkovic could both remain out of contention, after they were absent from the squad last time out with injury concerns.

Pacos de Ferreira possible starting lineup:
Jordi; Fonseca, Marcelo, Gonzaga, Rebocho; Costa, Eustaquio, Carlos; Singh, Tanque, Ferreira

SC Farense possible starting lineup:
Beto; Tavares, Cesar, Mancha, Abner; Oudrhiri, Lucca; Lica, Gauld, Aouacheria; Henrique


SM words green background

We say: Pacos de Ferreira 1-2 SC Farense

With both sides coming into Tuesday's game in poor runs of form, it could definitely go either way, but we see Farense snatching a win on the basis of having far more to play for.

The desperation for results in order to survive could fire Costa's men to a much-needed victory against the odds, with talisman Ryan Gauld potentially playing a key role for his side.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:443759:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10131:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.48%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (12.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Farense

Pacos de Ferreira
58.3%
Draw
11.1%
SC Farense
30.6%
36
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Benfica coach Jorge Jesus in the Europa League on February 18, 2021
Read Next:
Saturday's Primeira Liga predictions including Pacos de Ferreira vs. Benfica
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25212275255065
2Benfica26204260213964
3Porto26184450183258
4Braga26165555342153
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes26155641271450
6MoreirenseMoreirense2612682827142
7AroucaArouca26104124337634
8FamalicaoFamalicao2561092430-628
9Gil Vicente2677123539-428
10BoavistaBoavista2677123351-1828
11Casa Pia2676132339-1627
12SC FarenseFarense2676133438-427
13Estrela Amadora2668122639-1326
14Estoril PraiaEstoril2674154249-725
15Rio AveRio Ave2641392635-925
16PortimonensePortimonense2665152453-2923
17Vizela2649132652-2621
18ChavesChaves2647152556-3119


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!