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Nottingham Forest logo
Championship | Gameweek 34
Mar 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Luton Town

Nott'm Forest
0 - 1
Luton

FT(HT: 0-0)
Tunnicliffe (64')
Naismith (61')

Preview: Nottingham Forest vs. Luton Town - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides with their eyes on the top half of the Championship face off at the City Ground on Tuesday evening as Nottingham Forest host Luton Town.

Forest drew 1-1 with Derby County last time out and are one point behind Luton, who beat Sheffield Wednesday 3-2 on Saturday.


Match preview

Nottingham Forest's Alex Mighten celebrates after scoring their first goal on February 20, 2021© Reuters

Forest's relegation fears have been eased in recent weeks thanks to a run of three games without defeat.

That includes back-to-back wins against Blackburn Rovers and Rotherham United without conceding prior to their draw with Derby.

The Reds were on course for a third victory on the spin thanks to James Garner's first goal in senior football, but East Midlands rivals Derby equalised late on to snatch a point.

Chris Hughton admitted his side's profligacy in front of goal ultimately cost them at Pride Park, but the draw does at least leave them 11 points above the relegation zone.

Indeed, Forest will now be looking up the division rather than down, with the gap on the top half standing at just three points ahead of this visit of Luton.

Luton Town's Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates against Bournemouth on January 16, 2021© Reuters

The Hatters are two places better off than their opponents following their comeback win at Wednesday - a game in which they trailed by two goals at half time before hitting back.

Boss Nathan Jones made a triple substitution at the break and it paid off as Kal Naismith, Ryan Tunnicliffe and Elijah Adebayo struck to earn a 3-2 win at Hillsborough.

That was Luton's first win in four league matches, having previously drawn with Millwall after losing against Cardiff City and Stoke City.

Jones will now be looking to build some momentum, though Luton have lost nine of their 16 away games this term, which is the sixth worst record in the second tier.

Forest, though, have won just five of their 16 homes matches, which again ranks them among the worst teams in the division.

Nottingham Forest Championship form: WDLWWD

Luton Town Championship form: DWLLDW


Team News

Luton Town's Kiernan Dewbury Hall in action with Cardiff City's Harry Wilson in the Championship on February 16, 2021© Reuters

Ryan Yates missed the Derby match with a minor calf injury, but Hughton is hopeful that the midfielder will be back available for the visit of Luton.

However, striker Lewis Grabban is still struggling with a hamstring injury and has yet to return to training, meaning that he will again play no part.

Sammy Ameobi was back among the subs last time out and could be in Hughton's thoughts for a starting spot on Tuesday, while Tyler Blackett is another pushing for a recall.

As for the visitors, Jones must surely be tempted to stick with the side that started the second half against Wednesday.

Glen Rea, Harry Cornick and Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu were all brought on at half time and inspired Town's comeback win in Yorkshire.

Adebayo has two goals and an assist in four games since joining Luton from Walsall in the January window and is expected to lead the line again here.

Nottingham Forest possible starting lineup:
Samba; Christie, Worrall, Figueiredo, Bong; Garner, Cafu; Knockaert, Krovinovic, Freeman; Murray

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Sluga; Pearson, Cranie, Potts; Clark, Tunnicliffe, Mpanzu, Dewsbury-Hall, Naismith, Cornick; Adebayo


SM words green background

We say: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Luton Town

The reverse meeting finished 1-1 in October and there has been very little between the sides all season, highlighted by the one-point gap between them heading into this match.

Forest have a pretty poor home record and Luton struggle for wins on their travels, so we are tipping this contest to finish all square.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.01%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.


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Luton Town manager Nathan Jones pictured in December 2020
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