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Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
Belenenses

Maritimo
1 - 1
Belenenses

Costa (45+5')
Joel (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Safira (13' pen.)
Tavares (26'), Akas (32'), van der Gaag (45+3')
van der Gaag (67')

Preview: Maritimo vs. Belenenses - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Maritimo will look to stretch their winning run to four league games on Sunday, when they play host to Belenenses.

The visitors sit at the foot of the Primeira Liga table after a defeat to Porto last time out, while Vasco Seabra's side have climbed to ninth spot.


Match preview

Belenenes' Abel Camara celebrates scoring their first goal on January 16, 2022© Reuters

Under the management of Julio Velazquez, Maritimo had a poor start to the Primeira Liga campaign, sitting second-bottom in November, leading to the dismissal of the Spaniard.

The Madeira side opted to replace him with former Moreirense boss Vasco Seabra, and that has proved to be an inspired change so far, with the side winning five of his first seven league games at the helm and only suffering one loss in the process.

While that was a 7-1 thrashing at the hands of Benfica, Os Verde-Rubros have bounced back in style, recording three straight victories heading into Saturday as they first handed defeats to Vizela and Portimonense.

Maritimo then faced the tough test of a trip to fifth-placed Braga, and Seabra's men defied the odds to stretch their winning run to three games as Claudio Winck hit the only goal of the game in the 89th minute to see his side take all three points back to Madeira.

As a result of their dramatic improvement, Os Verde-Rubros have quickly climbed away from the relegation zone and up to ninth place in the Portuguese top flight, and they will now go in search of a fourth straight win that could see them climb as high as sixth depending on other results.

They welcome a Belenenses side desperate to get off the bottom of the table after a poor start to the campaign, triggering the departure of former manager Petit with the side sat on just four points and without a victory from the opening eight league outings.

O Belem have since appointed Filipe Candido, but that has not brought about the desired change, with the side still rooted to the foot of the division with just 11 points from their 18 games.

After Abel Camara's 93rd-minute winner sealed a vital 2-1 home victory over Vizela, they will have hoped to push on with a clash against fellow strugglers Famalicao to follow, but they fell to a 1-0 defeat in that outing before being thrashed 4-1 on home soil by Porto last time out.

Candido's men took the lead through Camara, but a hat-trick from Evanilson and a Mehdi Taremi goal altered the game and ensured the title-chasing side left with a dominant win last Sunday.

Now sitting five points adrift of safety, O Belem are tasked with quickly correcting their form to keep their hopes of surviving the drop this season realistic.

Maritimo Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Belenenses Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Belenenses form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Maritimo are missing Ricardinho, Miguel Silva and Jorge Saenz, with all three sidelined through injuries.

After an impressive away win over Braga, Seabra is not expected to make many changes, with Ali Alipour and Joel Tagueu set to lead the line with Claudio Winck, Matheus Costa, Zainadine Junior and Vitor Costa forming the back four.

Belenenses duo Sphephelo Sithole and Abel Camara will serve suspensions on Sunday, after they were both sent off in the defeat to Porto.

Meanwhile, Rafael Camacho and Francisco Teixeira will remain in the treatment room.

However, Carraca will return to contention after he served a suspension of his own last time out.

Maritimo possible starting lineup:
Victor; Winck, M Costa, Junior, V Costa; Guitane, Beltrame, Mendes, Vidigal; Alipour, Tagueu

Belenenses possible starting lineup:
Felipe; Henriques, Tavares, Ribeiro; Carraca, Lukovic, Cafu, Sousa, Varela; Nuno, Safira


SM words green background

We say: Maritimo 2-0 Belenenses

Looking at the recent trends of the two sides, we can only see Maritimo coming out as comfortable winners on Sunday.

Os Verde-Rubros have taken huge strides under Seabra, and we back them to make it four straight wins against a Belenenses side devoid of any confidence at the foot of the table.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Maritimo vs Belenenses

Maritimo
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Belenenses
10.0%
10
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25212275255065
2Benfica26204260213964
3Porto26184450183258
4Braga26165555342153
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes26155641271450
6MoreirenseMoreirense2612682827142
7AroucaArouca26104124337634
8FamalicaoFamalicao2561092430-628
9Gil Vicente2677123539-428
10BoavistaBoavista2677123351-1828
11Casa Pia2676132339-1627
12SC FarenseFarense2676133438-427
13Estrela Amadora2668122639-1326
14Estoril PraiaEstoril2674154249-725
15Rio AveRio Ave2641392635-925
16PortimonensePortimonense2665152453-2923
17Vizela2649132652-2621
18ChavesChaves2647152556-3119


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