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Manchester United logo
Premier League | Gameweek 7
Nov 1, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Old Trafford
Arsenal logo

Man Utd
0 - 1
Arsenal


Fred (22'), Greenwood (71'), Maguire (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aubameyang (69' pen.)
Holding (25'), Magalhaes (27'), Aubameyang (87')

Preview: Manchester United vs. Arsenal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League encounter between Manchester United and Arsenal, including team news and predicted lineups.

Manchester United and Arsenal lock horns in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon with both clubs sitting in the bottom half of the standings.

After three defeats in half-a-dozen outings, the Gunners sit in 11th spot, while United are only in 15th place after claiming seven points from their opening five fixtures.


Match preview

Manchester United manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer pictured on August 16, 2020© Reuters

After United were outclassed on every level by Tottenham Hotspur before the October international break, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer found himself having to fight for his position at Old Trafford ahead of a set of difficult fixtures.

While many observers expected United to succumb tamely to the likes of Paris Saint-Germain, Chelsea and RB Leipzig, the 6-1 demolition at the hands of Spurs has only acted as the catalyst for an unforeseen unbeaten streak.

Since the late flurry of goals at Newcastle United, United have collected maximum points from their two Champions League games, as well as earning a share of the spoils at home to Chelsea on the domestic scene.

Although Solskjaer and his squad would have been relatively content with the goalless draw against the Blues, the manner of their 5-0 triumph over Leipzig has naturally led to a change in expectations.

United have scored 11 times for the loss of just two goals since the middle of the month, leaving them high in belief ahead of a fixture which will be regarded as a must-win if they are to make quick headway up the standings.

Manchester United's Marcus Rashford celebrates scoring against RB Leipzig in the Champions League on October 28, 2020© Reuters

Seemingly aided by the leadership skills which he has been displaying off the pitch, Marcus Rashford is beginning to show more of a ruthless streak in front of goal.

Five strikes and two assists have come from his last 297 minutes of action, a run which has contributed to keeping Edinson Cavani among the United substitutes for the time being.

There have recently been calls for the Uruguay star to be drafted straight into the first XI, but the reemergence of Rashford as a frontline striker is allowing the veteran to get up to speed at his own pace.

Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta was hoping for Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to showcase the same kind of firepower in front of goal, especially with the Gabon international having been rewarded for his previous form with a lucrative new deal.

Unlike Rashford, however, Aubameyang has looked a shadow of the player who ended last season as one of the best attackers in Europe, highlighting the reliance which had been placed on his shoulders.

With his only goal in his last six appearances coming against Rapid Vienna in the Europa League, Arteta will hope that the 31-year-old can benefit from not being required against Dundalk in the Europa League.

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on September 19, 2020© Reuters

A largely second-string side initially showed signs of being frustrated by their Irish opponents before scoring their three goals either side of the break.

Although few players enhanced their chances of being selected at the weekend, it felt important for some of the fringe players to get minutes under their belts when Arteta will want as many options as possible for the Premier League.

Only Alexandre Lacazette has scored more than once in the top flight this season, while lapses in concentration at the back have left Arsenal without a clean sheet since the opening weekend of the campaign.

In Arsenal's defence, they have already made trips to Liverpool and Manchester City, meaning that visits to three of the big six will be out of the way by the end of the week.

Most supporters would feel content if a point can be secured at The Theatre of Dreams, even if it means a longer spell being spent around the mid-table positions.

However, recording maximum points would catapult the club back into the mix at the top when many of their rivals have to take on a tougher run of fixtures during the winter months.

Manchester United Premier League form: LWLWD
Manchester United form (all competitions): WLWWDW

Arsenal Premier League form: WWLWLL
Arsenal form (all competitions): DWLWLW



Team News

Arsenal striker Alexandre Lacazette pictured on August 1, 2020© Reuters

Arteta may be prepared to drop one of Aubameyang or Lacazette now that Willian is back in contention after injury.

With Bukayo Saka having also shaken off a recent knock, the youngster could feature down the left, allowing Aubameyang to play down the middle.

David Luiz is likely to miss out for the Gunners through injury, increasing the chances of Arteta deploying a back four.

Anthony Martial remains absent for United as he serves the final game of his three-match ban, while Alex Telles will miss a number of fixtures after a positive coronavirus test.

Solskjaer is expected to stick with the diamond formation which worked so well against Leipzig, leaving Mason Greenwood in line to partner Rashford in attack.

Nemanja Matic and Donny van de Beek will likely be the two players to miss out in the centre of the pitch.

Manchester United possible starting lineup:
De Gea; Wan-Bissaka, Lindelof, Maguire, Shaw; Fred, McTominay, Pogba; Fernandes; Greenwood, Rashford

Arsenal possible starting lineup:
Leno; Bellerin, Mustafi, Gabriel, Tierney; Ceballos, Thomas, Xhaka; Willian, Aubameyang, Saka


Head To Head

Sunday's encounter represents the 233rd competitive meeting between these two sides, with United bidding to record their 100th victory over the Gunners.

The Gunners are not too far behind with 84 wins to their name, while only 49 draws have been played out between two of English football's most decorated clubs.

Although United have not prevailed in any of the three most recent contests, they are unbeaten in their last half-a-dozen home encounters against the North Londoners.

Nevertheless, two-and-a-half years have passed since United got the better of Arsenal in a Premier League fixture.


SM words green background

We say: Manchester United 3-1 Arsenal

A week ago, we would have predicted that the Gunners were in good shape to claim a hard-fought point at Old Trafford. However, United's performance against RB Leipzig means that the pendulum is now swinging in their favour, and we expect the home side to sweep past opposition who are struggling for consistency.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.


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Arsenal winger Reiss Nelson in September 2019.
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool34228475344174
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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