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Brighton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2021 at 7pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Manchester City logo

Brighton
3 - 2
Man City

Trossard (50'), Webster (72'), Burn (76')
Jahanbakhsh (27'), Webster (90+3'), Sanchez (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gundogan (2'), Foden (48')
Silva (73'), Rodri (79'), Fernandinho (82')
Cancelo (10')

Preview: Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Manchester City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Brighton & Hove Albion take on champions Manchester City in the Premier League on Tuesday, with the Citizens looking to build momentum ahead of their Champions League final clash against Chelsea towards the end of May.

Brighton, meanwhile, have already secured their safety for a fourth successive season, so they are simply aiming to finish as high in the table as they possibly can.


Match preview

Brighton & Hove Albion's Pascal Gross celebrates scoring their first goal against Leeds United in the Premier League on May 1, 2021© Reuters

Having finished 15th twice and 17th once in their three full seasons in the Premier League, Graham Potter's side require a shock win against Man City on Tuesday to still be able to secure a record-high finish in England's top flight.

Had the Seagulls held onto their 1-0 lead against West Ham United on Saturday, that would not have been the case, but Said Benrahma's late equaliser meant Brighton remain in 17th place in the table heading into Tuesday's fixture.

Danny Welbeck looked to have scored an 84th-minute winner during a cagey encounter at the Amex Stadium, with the England striker racing in behind and coolly dinking the ball over the onrushing Lukasz Fabianski.

However, Benrahma showed Hammers' fans what he is capable of by picking up the ball outside of the area and delightfully bending the ball around Robert Sanchez to score his first ever Premier League goal, and salvage a point for his side in the process.

Manchester City's Ferran Torres celebrates scoring their fourth goal against Newcastle United in the Premier League on May 14, 2021© Reuters

Man City, meanwhile, were involved in a hugely entertaining 4-3 victory away to Newcastle United on Friday.

Pep Guardiola made several changes for the trip to the North East, with Scott Carson handed a surprise first ever start for the club in goal ahead of the 35-year-old's playing contract expiring at the end of the season.

A makeshift central defensive pair of Nathan Ake and Eric Garcia struggled to contain Steve Bruce's side, particularly in transition and from set-pieces, with Emil Krafth heading the hosts into the lead as a result.

Joao Cancelo and Ferran Torres quickly flipped the match on its head before Ake's clumsy tackle allowed Joelinton to level the proceedings from the penalty spot in first half injury time, with Joe Willock restoring Newcastle's lead at the second attempt after the break having initially missed his penalty before converting the rebound after Carson's excellent sprawling save.

However, having received limited minutes during his first season in England, Torres showed his undoubted ability by subsequently bagging a hat-trick and securing a record 12th consecutive away win for Man City in the Premier League, illustrating their tremendous character and quality under Guardiola ahead of their trip to the south coast on Tuesday.

Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

Manchester City Premier League form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Manchester City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne pictured in action against Chelsea in the FA Cup on April 17, 2021© Reuters

Brighton will remain without their captain Lewis Dunk and top goalscorer Neal Maupay after the duo were both sent off in the recent defeat to Wolverhampton Wanderers, but they will be available again for the final day trip to Arsenal.

Steven Alzate could drop out of the side to make way for Adam Lallana, who returned from a recent knock to make an appearance from the substitutes' bench against West Ham. The former Liverpool midfielder's ability in tight areas could prove useful in terms of evading Man City's high press.

Joel Veltman and Davy Propper could miss out once more due to calf and ankle injuries respectively, while Solly March and Tariq Lamptey have been ruled out for the rest of the season due to knee and hamstring injuries respectively.

Man City, meanwhile, will travel without Kevin De Bruyne due to a minor muscle injury, with the Belgian perhaps unlikely to be risked prior to the Champions League final.

Sergio Aguero was not included in the squad which travelled to Newcastle, although it remains unclear whether that is due to an injury or related to his failed attempt at converting a Panenka penalty during the recent league defeat to Chelsea.

Guardiola may look to ensure the likes of Ederson, John Stones, Ruben Dias, Fernandinho, Riyad Mahrez and Phil Foden are not rusty ahead of the final against Chelsea, so there is likely to be plenty of changes as usual.

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup:
Sanchez; White, Webster, Burn; Gross, Lallana, Bissouma, Moder; Trossard, Jahanbakhsh; Welbeck

Manchester City possible starting lineup:
Ederson; Cancelo, Stones, Dias, Mendy; Silva, Fernandinho, Foden; Mahrez, Jesus, Torres


SM words green background

We say: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-3 Manchester City

Much will depend on which side Guardiola selects, but either way we expect his group of players to secure a 13th consecutive away win in the Premier League.

Any fringe players included will want to lay down a marker as they look to earn a place in the Spaniard's thoughts ahead of the Champions League final, while City's key players will want to continue their excellent form.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Brighton vs Man City

Brighton & Hove Albion
14.9%
Draw
8.7%
Manchester City
76.3%
241
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Manchester City's Ferran Torres celebrates scoring their fourth goal against Newcastle United in the Premier League on May 14, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
2Arsenal32225575264971
3Liverpool32218372314171
4Aston Villa33196868491963
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham33139115258-648
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32127134651-543
12Fulham33126154951-242
13Bournemouth32119124757-1042
14Crystal Palace3289153754-1733
15Brentford3388174758-1132
16Everton3298153248-1627
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3379174258-1626
18Luton TownLuton3367204670-2425
19Burnley3348213368-3520
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3237223084-5416


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