Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
We said: Wolfsburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Admittedly, this one is close to call as Wolfsburg are not pulling up trees on their turf, while Bochum's wretched road record leaves much to be desired. However, we are backing the Wolves to end an extended wait for success at Volkswagen Arena, having secured eight home wins over this weekend's visitors in nine matches.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 51.77% . A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.99%) . The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result Wolfsburg Draw VfL Bochum 51.77% ( -0.11) 22.93% ( -0.04) 25.3% ( 0.15)
Both teams to score 58.93% ( 0.31)
58.53% ( 0.34) 41.47% ( -0.34)
36.13% ( 0.34) 63.87% ( -0.34)
83.9% ( 0.08) 16.1% ( -0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 54.49% ( 0.15) 45.51% ( -0.15)
70.24% ( 0.3) 29.76% ( -0.3)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.17% ( 0.36) 65.83% ( -0.36)
Wolfsburg 51.77%
VfL Bochum 25.3%
Draw 22.92%
Wolfsburg Draw VfL Bochum 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 51.77% 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.92% 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 25.3%
How you voted: Wolfsburg vs VfL Bochum
31
rhs 2.0
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