MX23RW : Monday, May 20 00:09:51| >> :600:3640361:3640361:
Swindon Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
County Ground
Exeter City

Swindon
0 - 1
Exeter

FT(HT: 0-1)
Wildschut (6')
Diabate (82'), Harper (83')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Swindon Town and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two

Exeter City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawExeter City
44.81% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01) 22.53% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 32.66% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 65.92% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.4% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)34.6% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.45% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)56.54% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)16.05% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.59% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)45.4% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)21.48% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.48% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)54.52% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 44.81%
    Exeter City 32.66%
    Draw 22.53%
Swindon TownDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-0 @ 6.31% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.77% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 44.81%
1-1 @ 9.7% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.45% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 32.66%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Exeter
3-1
Swindon
Brown (17'), Grounds (26'), Jay (81')
Payne (90+3')
Davison (25'), Iandolo (73')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swindon
1-2
Exeter
Tomlinson (58')
Brown (84'), Dieng (88')
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Swindon
3-4
Exeter
Smith (61', 85'), Palmer (90+2')
Grant (43')
Kite (4'), Seymour (7' pen.), Atangana (63'), Hartridge (68')
Sweeney (78')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Swindon
2-1
Exeter
Doyle (20'), Hope (45')
Doughty (63')
Williams (34')
Bowman (36')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Exeter
1-1
Swindon
Jay (72')
Taylor (45')
Doyle (88')
Baudry (39'), Doughty (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!