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Swansea logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Morecambe

Swansea
2 - 0
Morecambe

Patino (47'), Yates (87')
Wood (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Major (85'), Edwards (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Swansea City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 West Brom
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Harrogate
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swansea City 2-0 Morecambe

With confidence low in the Morecambe ranks, Swansea will expect to take advantage. However, with changes likely in the home side's starting lineup, they may only score a goal in each half to secure the progress to the last 32. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMorecambe
58.68% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 21.51% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 19.8% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.29% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.5% (-0.253 -0.25)41.49% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11% (-0.256 -0.26)63.89% (0.258 0.26)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (-0.124 -0.12)13.84% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.79% (-0.247 -0.25)41.21% (0.248 0.25)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)34.67% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)71.39% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 58.68%
    Morecambe 19.8%
    Draw 21.51%
Swansea CityDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 58.68%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 5.32% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.8%

How you voted: Swansea vs Morecambe

Swansea City
80.6%
Draw
12.9%
Morecambe
6.5%
31
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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