European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 24, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadionul Steaua, Bucuresti
We said: Romania Under-21s 1-2 Ukraine Under-21s
With Romania having played the group and, arguably, tournament favourites, they will feel that they can turn things around against Ukraine. However, Ukraine are full of confidence and have Mudryk at their disposal, leading us to predict a narrow win for a team who are effectively the visitors in this contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine Under-21s win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Romania Under-21s had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Romania Under-21s win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ukraine Under-21s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ukraine Under-21s.
| Result |
| Romania Under-21s | Draw | Ukraine Under-21s |
19.78% ( 0.52) | 22.5% ( 0.15) | 57.72% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( 0.39) |
| 54.1% ( 0.09) | 45.9% ( -0.09) |
| 31.79% ( 0.09) | 68.21% ( -0.08) |
| 62.77% ( 0.6) | 37.23% ( -0.6) |
