MX23RW : Monday, May 20 03:59:52| >> :120:50998:50998:
Red Star Belgrade
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitic
Leipzig logo

Red Star
1 - 2
RB Leipzig

Henrichs (81' og.)
Mijailovic (6'), Krasso (28'), Ivanic (52'), Lucic (73'), Olayinka (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simons (8'), Openda (77')
Simakan (49'), Lukeba (56'), Henrichs (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Red Star Belgrade and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Mainz 2-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-2 RB Leipzig

Leipzig ought to have learned their lesson about risky plays out from the back following their meeting with Red Star a fortnight ago, and their recent failures domestically should offer the hosts quite the injection of confidence. Quelling Rose's effervescent young attackers is another matter entirely for the Serbian champions, though, and we have faith in Leipzig to rectify their recent defeats and advance to the knockout stages by virtue of a hard-fought victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.78%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawRB Leipzig
39.8% (1.445 1.45) 22.65% (-0.553 -0.55) 37.54% (-0.894 -0.89)
Both teams to score 66.71% (2.149 2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.92% (2.797 2.8)34.07% (-2.798 -2.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.05% (3.097 3.1)55.94% (-3.1 -3.1)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (1.844 1.84)17.82% (-1.846 -1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.43% (3.088 3.09)48.56% (-3.089 -3.09)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.81 0.81)18.82% (-0.811 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75% (1.338 1.34)50.25% (-1.34 -1.34)
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 39.8%
    RB Leipzig 37.54%
    Draw 22.65%
Red Star BelgradeDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.494 -0.49)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.285 0.29)
3-2 @ 4% (0.332 0.33)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.101 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.234 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.234 0.23)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.111 0.11)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 39.8%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.558 -0.56)
2-2 @ 6.96% (0.193 0.19)
0-0 @ 3.35% (-0.507 -0.51)
3-3 @ 2.23% (0.237 0.24)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.684 -0.68)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.438 -0.44)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.88% (0.203 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.123 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 37.54%

How you voted: Red Star vs RB Leipzig

Red Star Belgrade
18.8%
Draw
15.2%
RB Leipzig
66.1%
112
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
RB Leipzig
3-1
Red Star
Raum (12'), Simons (59'), Olmo (84')
Henrichs (28')
Stamenic (70')
Stamenic (34'), Rodic (45+3'), In-beom (46'), Djiga (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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