Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
54.08% ( -0.01) | 23.34% ( 0) | 22.58% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.34% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.94% ( 0.01) | 46.06% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.64% ( 0) | 68.37% ( 0) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% | 16.95% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.98% ( -0) | 47.03% ( 0.01) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.43% ( 0.01) | 34.57% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.71% ( 0.01) | 71.29% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.08% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 22.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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