MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 15:18:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Ljudski vrt
Aluminij

Maribor
1 - 0
Aluminij

Jakupovic (65')
Lorber (4'), Milec (76')
Lorber (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gorenak (87')
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Maribor and Aluminij.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Differdange 1-1 Maribor
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aluminij 2-2 Celje
Sunday, July 23 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 54.79%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.

Result
MariborDrawAluminij
54.79% (-0.11000000000001 -0.11) 22.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.12% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 59.28% (0.1 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15% (0.071999999999996 0.07)39.85% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (0.076000000000001 0.08)62.21% (-0.073 -0.07)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.48% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)14.52% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.47% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)42.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Aluminij Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.12599999999999 0.13)30.66% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (0.148 0.15)66.9% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 54.79%
    Aluminij 23.12%
    Draw 22.09%
MariborDrawAluminij
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 54.79%
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 6% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 23.12%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celje36247575344179
2Maribor361910767353267
3NK Olimpija LjubljanaLjubljana361810869442564
4NK BravoBravo361214104242050
5Koper361212125149248
6NK DomzaleDomzale36134195260-843
7NS Mura361110154255-1343
8Rogaska36106203764-2736
9Radomlje36712173351-1833
10Aluminij3687213771-3431


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!