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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu
Istanbul Basaksehir

Hatayspor
1 - 2
Istanbul

Dadasov (73')
Rivas (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Piatek (5'), Kemen (69')
Atan (0'), Ilkhan (23'), Souza (25'), Duarte (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Caykur Rizespor
Sunday, April 21 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-1 Istanbul Basaksehir

Given their form heading into this one, Basaksehir are favourites to carry the day but Hatayspor are, by no means, any pushovers in front of their fans. We can see the teams cancelling each other over the course of the 90 minutes to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
HataysporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
38.52% (0.791 0.79) 25.74% (-0.211 -0.21) 35.73% (-0.581 -0.58)
Both teams to score 55.06% (0.672 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (0.878 0.88)49.08% (-0.88 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (0.787 0.79)71.16% (-0.789 -0.79)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (0.836 0.84)25% (-0.839 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.33% (1.145 1.15)59.66% (-1.147 -1.15)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (0.076000000000008 0.08)26.57% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (0.10100000000001 0.1)61.79% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 38.53%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 35.73%
    Draw 25.73%
HataysporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 38.53%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.302 -0.3)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 35.73%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Istanbul

Hatayspor
12.5%
Draw
62.5%
Istanbul Basaksehir
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 15
Istanbul
1-0
Hatayspor
Abeid (11')
Opoku (20'), Atan (21'), Babacan (81'), (90+7')
Opoku (90+6')

Strandberg (64'), Rivas (86'), Kardesler (90+5')
Apr 30, 2023 5pm
Nov 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Hatayspor
3-3
Istanbul
Yildirim (12'), El Kaabi (75'), Luis (81')
Traore (60'), Aleksic (65'), Gurler (90+1')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 34
Istanbul
3-0
Hatayspor
Turuc (65', 88'), Tekdemir (77')
Epureanu (36')

Sackey (87')
Dec 5, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 15
Hatayspor
0-3
Istanbul

Falette (26'), Traore (29')
Aleksic (8' pen., 27'), Okaka (45+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray37323289256499
2Fenerbahce37306193316296
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor372041365481764
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul371771351411058
5BesiktasBesiktas37168135145656
6KasimpasaKasimpasa37158146064-453
7AlanyasporAlanyaspor371215105249351
8SivassporSivasspor371312124553-851
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor37148154856-850
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor371212134348-548
11Adana Demirspor371014135255-344
12Samsunspor371110164149-843
13KayserisporKayserispor371112144355-1242
14GaziantepGaziantep37118184957-841
15KonyasporKonyaspor37914143950-1141
16AnkaragucuAnkaragucu37816134448-440
17Hatayspor37814154352-938
RFatih KaragumrukKaragumruk37910184651-537
19Pendikspor37910184272-3037
RIstanbulspor3747262774-4716


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