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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Mansfield Town

Harrogate
1 - 4
Mansfield

Sutton (80')
Ramsay (66')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Brunt (8'), Akins (36', 38'), Maris (73')
MacDonald (69'), Johnson (83'), Brunt (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Harrogate Town 0-2 Mansfield Town

Mansfield Town have flown out of the blocks this season and will fancy their chances against a Harrogate side who have struggled to grind out results on home turf. While the Sulphurites have enjoyed the better of this fixture, we are tipping Clough's men to pick up where they left off at the weekend and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawMansfield Town
21.31% (-0.973 -0.97) 21.97% (-0.54 -0.54) 56.72% (1.516 1.52)
Both teams to score 57.14% (0.447 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.49% (1.244 1.24)41.51% (-1.244 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.09% (1.25 1.25)63.91% (-1.249 -1.25)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)33.2% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (-0.219 -0.22)69.81% (0.22000000000001 0.22)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.54% (0.92 0.92)14.46% (-0.92 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.57% (1.753 1.75)42.42% (-1.751 -1.75)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 21.31%
    Mansfield Town 56.72%
    Draw 21.97%
Harrogate TownDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-0 @ 5.29% (-0.333 -0.33)
2-0 @ 2.92% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 21.31%
1-1 @ 10.23% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.275 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.97%
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 8.98% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.227 0.23)
0-3 @ 5.79% (0.236 0.24)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.106 0.11)
1-4 @ 3.08% (0.204 0.2)
0-4 @ 2.8% (0.199 0.2)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.104 0.1)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.115 0.12)
0-5 @ 1.08% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 56.72%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Mansfield

Harrogate Town
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Mansfield Town
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Mansfield
1-2
Harrogate
Swan (67')
Kilgour (27' og.), Daly (39')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Harrogate
3-0
Mansfield
Pattison (5'), Armstrong (19', 45+3')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Harrogate
0-0
Mansfield
McArdle (41'), Diarra (88')
O'Toole (37'), Clarke (46')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Mansfield
1-3
Harrogate
Oates (3')
Nartey (9'), Gordon (36'), Lapslie (38'), Maris (90+5')
Clarke (73'), Quinn (74')
Armstrong (5'), Muldoon (45+2'), Thomson (81')
Page (41'), Burrell (66'), Falkingham (70'), Diamond (88')
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Harrogate
3-1
Mansfield
Orsi-Dadamo (44', 53', 69')
Power (24'), Sheron (45'), Pattison (51'), Thomson (68')
Lapslie (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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