Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 85.48%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 4.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 4-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.69%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (1.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Edinburgh City |
85.48% ( 0.08) | 9.93% ( -0.05) | 4.58% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 44.37% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.79% ( 0.05) | 28.2% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51% ( 0.06) | 48.99% ( -0.06) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.47% ( 0.02) | 4.53% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.45% ( 0.07) | 18.54% ( -0.07) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.47% ( -0.11) | 53.52% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.02% ( -0.07) | 86.98% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Edinburgh City |
3-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.6% 4-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.79% ( 0) 5-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.91% Total : 85.48% | 1-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 9.93% | 0-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 4.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |