Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Genoa |
34.04% ( -0.38) | 28.02% ( 0.03) | 37.94% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 47.61% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.57% ( -0.13) | 58.43% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.98% ( -0.11) | 79.02% ( 0.11) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.78% ( -0.32) | 32.22% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% ( -0.36) | 68.72% ( 0.36) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.24% ( 0.14) | 29.76% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.17% ( 0.17) | 65.83% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.04% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
15 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |