MX23RW : Monday, May 20 01:22:50| >> :600:1393585:1393585:
Burton Albion
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Leicester logo

Burton Albion
0 - 2
Leicester

FT(HT: 0-2)
Iheanacho (6'), Ndidi (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Burton Albion and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Coventry
Sunday, August 6 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Burton Albion 0-3 Leicester City

Leicester are bound to rotate heavily on Wednesday, but they certainly have the strength in depth to comfortably get past Burton Albion, especially with the likes of Iheanacho and Daka fighting to earn their new manager's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.18%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 21.2% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 0-1 (7.54%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawLeicester City
21.2% (1.707 1.71) 20.61% (1.08 1.08) 58.18% (-2.79 -2.79)
Both teams to score 61.89% (-1.159 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.8% (-2.749 -2.75)35.2% (2.746 2.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.78% (-3.122 -3.12)57.21% (3.118 3.12)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)29.69% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)65.75% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.03% (-1.578 -1.58)11.97% (1.574 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.62% (-3.454 -3.45)37.37% (3.45 3.45)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 21.2%
    Leicester City 58.18%
    Draw 20.61%
Burton AlbionDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 5.56% (0.404 0.4)
1-0 @ 4.32% (0.569 0.57)
2-0 @ 2.62% (0.341 0.34)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.161 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 21.2%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.679 0.68)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.065 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.473 0.47)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.123 0.12)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.113 0.11)
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.57 0.57)
1-3 @ 6.88% (-0.364 -0.36)
0-3 @ 5.67% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-3 @ 4.18% (-0.228 -0.23)
1-4 @ 3.65% (-0.449 -0.45)
0-4 @ 3.01% (-0.364 -0.36)
2-4 @ 2.22% (-0.276 -0.28)
1-5 @ 1.55% (-0.306 -0.31)
0-5 @ 1.28% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-5 @ 0.94% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 58.18%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Leicester

Burton Albion
8.9%
Draw
11.1%
Leicester City
80.0%
45
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Burton Albion
0-0
Leicester
Burton Albion win 3-1 on penalties
Oct 29, 2019 7.45pm
Aug 1, 2017 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Burton Albion
2-1
Leicester
Akpan (17'), Akins (29')
Maguire (66')
Jul 28, 2015 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Burton Albion
1-2
Leicester
Duffy (90')
Vardy (65', 72')
Jan 5, 2013 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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