MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 23:09:24| >> :600:1385579:1385579:
Bristol City
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Oxford United

Bristol City
5 - 1
Oxford Utd

Cornick (15'), Knight (35', 47'), Wells (51'), Naismith (62')
Dickie (55'), Roberts (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bodin (30')
Brown (45+4'), Murphy (70'), Rodrigues (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Bristol City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Preston
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Oxford United

Pearson will make changes for this contest in a bid to assess his squad depth ahead of the end of the transfer window. That should give the visitors an opportunity to cause a surprise, but we feel that the Robins have enough quality at their disposal to secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawOxford United
39.49% (-0.561 -0.56) 25.83% (0.163 0.16) 34.67% (0.392 0.39)
Both teams to score 54.59% (-0.487 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (-0.658 -0.66)49.62% (0.652 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (-0.592 -0.59)71.64% (0.587 0.59)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.58999999999999 -0.59)24.74% (0.584 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.7% (-0.828 -0.83)59.29% (0.82299999999999 0.82)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)27.46% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-0.1 -0.1)62.95% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 39.49%
    Oxford United 34.67%
    Draw 25.83%
Bristol CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 39.49%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.213 0.21)
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.67%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Oxford Utd

Bristol City
76.7%
Draw
13.3%
Oxford United
10.0%
30
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Bristol City
4-1
Oxford Utd
Conway (13', 54'), Weimann (27'), Knight (49')
O'Donkor (15')
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
Round One
Bristol City
1-2
Oxford Utd
Bryan (2')
Bryan (22'), El-Abd (70')
Morris (55'), Hylton (87')
Collins (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!