Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
43.03% ( -0.39) | 22.14% ( 0.08) | 34.82% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 68.22% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.08% ( -0.31) | 31.92% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.53% ( -0.36) | 53.47% ( 0.37) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.35% ( -0.27) | 15.65% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.32% ( -0.5) | 44.67% ( 0.5) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% ( 0.01) | 19.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.23% ( 0.01) | 50.76% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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