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EFL Cup
Bolton logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Bolton
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Charles (23')
Forrester (51'), Thomason (58'), Iredale (70'), Ashworth (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Crooks (33'), McGree (90+1'), Rogers (90+4')
Jones (47'), Crooks (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bolton Wanderers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One

Middlesbrough

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: West Brom 4-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Middlesbrough

 This is a difficult match to call, as both managers will make a number of changes. Bolton have certainly enjoyed the stronger start to the campaign, but we believe that Boro's superior quality will allow them to progress to the third round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawMiddlesbrough
37.89%24.59% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 37.52%
Both teams to score 59.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.28%43.72% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.89%66.11% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32%56.68% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)23.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.03%56.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 37.89%
    Middlesbrough 37.52%
    Draw 24.59%
Bolton WanderersDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.42%
1-0 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 5.75%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 3.03%
3-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.89%
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 7.76%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.1%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.52%

How you voted: Bolton vs Middlesbrough

Bolton Wanderers
44.2%
Draw
23.3%
Middlesbrough
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 41
Bolton
0-2
Middlesbrough
Fletcher (16', 28')
> Match Report
Sep 19, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Middlesbrough
2-0
Bolton
Saville (34'), Assombalonga (90')
Downing (65')

Magennis (64'), Lowe (68'), Wheater (80'), Williams (93')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-0
Bolton
Braithwaite (49'), Assombalonga (67')
Howson (33'), Braithwaite (57')

Taylor (12'), Beevers (51'), Wheater (88')
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Bolton
0-3
Middlesbrough

Karacan (10')
Assombalonga (13', 71'), Johnson (78')
Traore (45')
Apr 16, 2016 12.30pm
Bolton
1-2
Middlesbrough
Vela (61')
Davies (64'), Amos (80'), Vela (84')
Rhodes (73', 91')
Nsue (33'), Ayala (36')
rhs 2.0
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