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Championship header 2

League One
Oxford United
League One | 1st Leg
May 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Peterborough United

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Peterborough

Moore (45')
Rodrigues (30'), Bennett (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mason-Clark (78'), Katongo (97+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 3-3 Bolton
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Peterborough United

 Oxford have already beaten Peterborough at the Kassam Stadium this month, and while we do not think that the score will be as wide as the recent 5-0 scoreline, we believe that the U's will make use of home advantage to record a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
36.79% (-0.264 -0.26) 23.82% (0.061 0.06) 39.39% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 62.13% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01% (-0.31 -0.31)39.99% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)62.35% (0.324 0.32)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)21.81% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.414 -0.41)55.02% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)20.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-0.058 -0.06)53.05% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 36.79%
    Peterborough United 39.39%
    Draw 23.81%
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.79%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 39.39%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Peterborough

Oxford United
65.6%
Draw
15.6%
Peterborough United
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Oxford Utd
5-0
Peterborough
Harris (19' pen.), Murphy (31'), Rodrigues (38', 58'), Bodin (89')

Katongo (18')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
3-0
Oxford Utd
Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')

Bodin (63')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Peterborough
0-0
Oxford Utd
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
> Preview
Jul 27, 2021 5.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-0
Peterborough
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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