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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

Kasimpasa
3 - 1
Kayserispor

Subasi (14' og.), Bozok (36'), Engin (53')
Donk (39'), Taskiran (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gavranovic (12')
Sazdagi (45'), Bertolacci (79')

Preview: Kasimpasa vs. Kayserispor - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Kayserispor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Kasimpasa will be hoping to push away from the relegation zone on Sunday when they host Kayserispor at the Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium.

The visitors are undefeated in seven games heading into this game, while the hosts are also in rich form despite their league position.


Match preview

Kasimpasa have had a difficult season up to this point, having only won six of their 22 Super Lig fixtures at this moment, which is why they are fighting for survival.

The club are just two places above the relegation zone right now, but more worryingly there is only a single point separating them and 17th-placed Antalyaspor.

Despite their struggles throughout the campaign, they actually head into Sunday's match in fantastic form, as the squad are undefeated in their previous six outings.

They have found the back of the net 16 times in that period, showcasing their attacking qualities, which is something that they will want to demonstrate once again.

During their most recent performance Kasimpasa defeated Galatasaray 3-1, fighting from behind due to goals from Ryan Donk, Umut Bozok and Kevin Varga.

However, when the two teams met earlier this season it was Kayserispor who took all three points, as well as a clean sheet in a dominant performance.

Hikmet Karaman's squad won 2-0 back in September, despite the fact their opponents actually had the majority of the possession.

Much like Kasimpasa, the visitors head into this game in strong form, being undefeated in their previous seven fixtures across all competitions, providing plenty of confidence for the squad.

Impressively, they have kept five clean sheets in that spell, with Silviu Lung putting together some fantastic performances in goal for the club.

That is something he shall be hoping to continue, especially since Kayserispor are only four points away from breaking into the top four spots.

Kasimpasa Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Kasimpasa form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Kayserispor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Kayserispor form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W



Team News

Kasimpasa were without Jeffrey Bruma, Nicolai Jorgensen and Valentin Eysseric during their most recent outing in midweek, and that is likely to be the case again on Sunday.

After finding the back of the net against Galatasaray, Bozok will likely lead the line as a sole striker once again, with the 4-1-4-1 formation working out well for the squad.

Due to the recently impressive defensive displays from the visitors, it is unlikely that Kayserispor will be making any changes at the back, with Lung set to remain in goal.

The club will be without Mame Thiam, who is on international duty with Senegal at the Africa Cup Of Nations, which is a big blow due to him being the top goalscorer for the club.

They will also be missing Dimitrios Kolovetsios and Bernard Mensah due to long-term injuries, with both men expected to be out of action for the remainder of the season.

Kasimpasa possible starting lineup:
Taskiran; Elmali, Serbest, Donk, Hadergjonaj; Haspolat, Ouanes, Engin, Travnik, Hajradinovic; Bozok

Kayserispor possible starting lineup:
Lung; Bulut, Demirok, Hosseini, Subasi; Cardosa, Parmak, Akdag, Sazdagi; Pektemek, Gavranovic


SM words green background

We say: Kasimpasa 1-1 Kayserispor

Both teams are having vastly different seasons right now, and that is reflected in their league positions; however, they are each in fantastic form.

Neither squad has shown any weaknesses as of late, and while they are fighting for points for vastly different reasons, they could end up sharing them this weekend.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Kayserispor

Kasimpasa
37.5%
Draw
50.0%
Kayserispor
12.5%
8
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