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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Jan 19, 2022 at 2pm UK
Doganlar Stadium

Goztepe SK
2 - 1
Sivasspor

Nukan (22'), Tijanic (80')
Nwobodo (16'), Lourency (44'), Arslanagic (49'), Aydogdu (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Henrique (49' pen.)
Camara (53'), Atakan Kesgin (62'), Osmanpasa (88'), Kayode (90+3')

Preview: Goztepe SK vs. Sivasspor - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Goztepe SK and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Goztepe SK will be aiming for a fourth consecutive victory in all competitions when they host Sivasspor in the Turkish Super Lig on Wednesday.

Goz Goz are 16th in the table having moved out of the relegation zone in recent weeks thanks to their good form, while the Braves are 10th in the standings.


Match preview

Sivasspor Riza Calimbay pictured on November 5, 2020© Reuters

Goztepe came from behind to win 2-1 against bottom of the table Yeni Malatyaspor on Friday, with Berkan Emir and Lourency getting on the scoresheet.

Having beaten Antalyaspor 4-0 five days earlier, it was the first time this season that the Izmir-based outfit had secured back-to-back league victories, having won only three of their first 19 matches.

Nonetheless, Nestor El Maestro's side are only outside of the relegation zone by virtue of beating 17th-place Kasimpasa earlier in the season, so they are not out of trouble yet.

Furthermore, Goztepe have scored the fewest goals on home turf in the Super Lig this season, netting just 10 times in 11 games at the Gursel Aksel Stadium.

Sivasspor boss Riza Calimbay began his managerial career at Goztepe in 2001 and has gone on to manage a total of 13 clubs – this is his second spell in Sivas.

The 58-year-old's current side have won just one of their last four games but equally have lost only two of their last 13, leaving them four points behind the top four.

The Braves drew 1-1 against Trabzonspor on Saturday, becoming only the sixth side to take points off the runaway leaders this season.

Sivasspor have won three of their last four away matches, while only three clubs in the Super Lig have conceded fewer goals this season.

These two sides played out a 2-2 draw earlier in the campaign, while Sivasspor won a thrilling game 5-3 on their visit to the Gursel Aksel Stadium last season.

Goztepe SK Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Goztepe SK form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Sivasspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D

Sivasspor form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Goztepe captain Halil Akbunar received his fourth yellow card of the season against Yeni Malatyaspor, meaning he is suspended for Wednesday's game.

Defender Dino Arslanagic is back available again after serving his own ban and should slot straight into the back three.

January loan signing Francois Moubandje will be pushing to make his debut after starting on the bench on Friday, while fellow new arrival Oussama Tannane remains sidelined with an ankle issue.

Sivasspor are currently short in the centre of midfield, with Hakan Arslan and Fredrik Ulvestad injured and Faycal Fajr away at the Africa Cup of Nations.

Max-Alain Gradel is also at the Africa Cup of Nations so Erdogan Yesilyurt is likely to continue on the right wing.

Centre-back Dimitris Goutas missed the draw against Trabzonspor through illness and is expected to be absent again; Samba Camara should deputise in defence once more.

Goztepe SK possible starting lineup:
Egribayat; Arslanagic, Nukan, Angel; Alici, Nwobodo, Aydogdu, Emir; Lourency, Ndiaye, Baku

Sivasspor possible starting lineup:
Vural; Oguz, Osmanpasa, Camara, Ciftci; Yigitir; Yesilyurt, Cofie, Kesgin, Henrique; James


SM words green background

We say: Goztepe SK 0-0 Sivasspor

We think a tight game should be in store between two sides who have proven hard to beat of late. The statistics point towards a low-scoring match too, so we are predicting a goalless draw that the hosts will probably be slightly happier with.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goztepe SK win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Goztepe SK win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Goztepe SK would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Goztepe SK vs Sivasspor

Goztepe SK
31.6%
Draw
47.4%
Sivasspor
21.1%
19
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