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Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
Martinez Valero
Real Valladolid logo

Elche
1 - 1
Real Valladolid

Fidel (22')
Milla (26'), Marcone (37'), Calvo (72'), Gonzalo (84'), Rigoni (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Olaza (86')
Kodro (12'), Fernandez (52'), Janko (67')

Preview: Elche vs. Real Valladolid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Elche and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Elche will host Real Valladolid at the Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero on Wednesday evening in a nail-biting relegation six-pointer that could have a lasting impact on La Liga's drop zone.

A win for either of these two sides could see them haul themselves out of the bottom three.


Match preview

Elche's Dani Calvo celebrates scoring their first goal with Cifu on March 13, 2021© Reuters

In what has been an overwhelmingly disappointing season for Elche, things could easily get worse for the club with a loss on Wednesday.

Fran Escriba's side have gathered just two points from their last six league games and have gone without a win since their shock victory against Sevilla in March.

Against Osasuna last time out, Escriba's men were roundly beaten 2-0, managing to notch just two shots on target throughout the whole tie.

With games against heavyweights such as Atletico Madrid, Athletic Club, Real Sociedad and Levante coming up in the next few weeks, three points this week is integral to the club's La Liga survival bid.

Barcelona's Oscar Mingueza in action with Real Valladolid's Marcos de Sousa in La Liga on December 22, 2020© Reuters

Much like Elche, Real Valladolid have also had a wildly disappointing season, spending the whole campaign in the bottom five.

Valladolid have won just one game in their last 13 league outings and have managed to pick up just two points from their last four games.

Against Granada last time out, Valladolid were beaten 2-1 by the Andalusians, with Fabian Orellana's first-half heroics undone by two late strikes.

If Sergio is to keep the team in the division, the club will have to find a way to get three points from Elche on Wednesday.

Elche La Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L

Real Valladolid La Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Elche's Fidel celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates against Real Madrid on December 30, 2020© Reuters

Elche will have to soldier on without Fidel, who is suspended for this tie, while Guido Carrillo is out with a hamstring injury.

Tete Morente, Nino and Luismi are all likely to feature at some point during the 90 minutes.

Valladolid have an injury crisis on their hands with Javi Sanchez, Fede, Jawad El Yamiq, Joaquin Fernandez and Raul Garcia all out injured.

Orellana, Roque Mesa and Toni Villa are all expected to start.

Elche possible starting lineup:
Gazzaniga; Palacios, Calvo, Gonzalez, Mojica; Josan Fernandez, Marcone, Guti, Rigoni; Boye, Pere Milla

Real Valladolid possible starting lineup:
Masip; Janko, Bruno, Sanchez, Olaza; Villa, Mesa, Ruben Alcaraz, Orellana; Guardiola, Kodro


SM words green background

We say: Elche 2-2 Real Valladolid

A relegation six-pointer this late in proceedings is always a tough one to call, and we think these two outfits will scrap until the last minute. We are going with a 2-2 draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Elche had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Elche vs Real Valladolid

Elche
32.6%
Draw
41.9%
Real Valladolid
25.6%
43
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leganes32178747212659
2Espanyol321411749351453
3ElcheElche3215893528753
4EibarEibar321571049371252
5Real ValladolidValladolid32156113831751
6Racing de SantanderRacing32148105145650
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon32131093629749
8Burgos32147114041-149
9Real Oviedo321212840281248
10Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol32121283937248
11Levante32111473937247
12Eldense321012104042-242
13TenerifeTenerife32119122931-242
14Huesca32913102822640
15Real ZaragozaZaragoza32911122829-138
16CartagenaCartagena32108143142-1138
17MirandesMirandes32910133744-737
18AlcorconAlcorcon3289152443-1933
19Albacete32711143747-1032
20Amorebieta3279162639-1330
21Villarreal II3279162948-1930
22FC AndorraFC Andorra3278172440-1629


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