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[monks data]
Canada national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Jun 16, 2021 at 2.05am UK
SeatGeek Stadium
Haiti national football team

Canada
3 - 0
Haiti

Duverger (46' og.), Larin (74'), Hoilett (89')
Larin (8'), Hoilett (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Alceus (42'), Nazon (61')

Preview: Canada vs. Haiti - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Canada and Haiti, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Canada take on Haiti in a World Cup qualifier on Tuesday.

The Canadians hold a 1-0 advantage from the first leg, so will be expected to progress with home advantage on their side.


Match preview

Canada manager John Herdman pictured June 24, 2019© Reuters

Canada have only qualified for a World Cup once in their entire history, so will be desperate to have a chance of doing so by progressing to the final round of CONCACAF qualifying.

Englishman John Herdman has been in charge of the Canadian national team since 2018, boasting a very impressive 80% win rate across his 21 matches as manager.

The latest of those 17 wins came in Haiti at the weekend, with Cyle Larin's 14th-minute winner edging Canada closer to joining the likes of Mexico and United States in the group-stage format, where 10 teams will fight for a place in Qatar next winter.

However, Herdman will be keen to guard his players against complacency, especially as there was little between the two nations on Saturday.

Haiti forward Duckens Nazon on July 7, 2015© Reuters

Haiti have also only ever qualified for the World Cup once in their entire history - when they lost all three group games in West Germany in 1974 - so will be equally determined to earn a chance to reach a second.

The Grenadiers were perhaps unfortunate to lose the first leg in a match of few chances, with only six shots on target across the 90 minutes.

Former Nantes defender Jean-Jacques Pierre, who took over the national team earlier this year, will have little choice but to set his side up more offensively on Tuesday as they attempt to overturn the deficit.

If they can keep things tight, they have every chance of doing so.

Canada World Cup Qualifying - North Central America form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Canada form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Haiti World Cup Qualifying - North Central America form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Haiti form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Bayern Munich's Alphonso Davies in action against Chelsea in the Champions League on February 26, 2020© Reuters

There is little doubt that Bayern Munich left-back Alphonso Davies will be the most talented individual on the pitch on Tuesday.

Herdman deploys Canada in a 3-4-3 formation, which allows Davies to motor up the left flank in trademark fashion, but with Lille's Jonathan David and Besiktas' Larin forming a fearsome attack, they are clearly far from a one-man team.

Haiti, meanwhile, have considerably less quality within their ranks, with none of their current 23-man squad playing their domestic football in Europe's big five leagues.

Guingamp forward Frantzdy Pierrot has struck 10 times in only 18 caps for his country, though, so must be safeguarded by Davies and co.

Canada possible starting lineup:
Borjan; Johnston, Vitoria, Kennedy; Laryea, Eustaquio, Kaye, Davies; David, Larin, Osorio

Haiti possible starting lineup:
Placide; Ade, Lambese, Alceus, Geffrard; Pierrot, Lafrance, Simonsen, Christian, Etienne; Antoine


SM words green background

We say: Canada 2-0 Haiti

Canada should have too much quality to slip up against Haiti on Tuesday.

In Davies and David, Herdman's side have two of the most exciting young talents Canada have perhaps ever produced, which should prove to be the difference in the end.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Haiti had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Haiti win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Canada vs Haiti

Canada
89.2%
Draw
5.4%
Haiti
5.4%
37
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