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Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 10
Sep 29, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Bristol City

Millwall
1 - 0
Bristol City

Wallace (64' pen.)
McNamara (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (59'), Atkinson (63')

Preview: Millwall vs. Bristol City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Millwall and Bristol City square off in the Championship on Wednesday night with both teams unbeaten in their last five league fixtures.

However, 10 places separate the clubs in the standings, a consequence of the home side recording four successive draws.


Match preview

Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured in February 2021© Reuters

There have been times during Gary Rowett's reign as Millwall boss when collecting a draw has been perceived to be a positive result.

That is currently not an opinion shared by the club's fanbase with the draw against Nottingham Forest on Saturday representing their sixth stalemate in nine games.

Sitting just four above the relegation zone and three points adrift of the top 10, a couple of victories would make all the difference to the Lions.

However, having failed to score more than twice in a match and keeping just one clean sheet all season, it is difficult to envisage a sudden upturn in form.

Matt Smith netted the opener for Millwall at the City Ground, ending his wait for a goal in the Championship this campaign.

Nigel Pearson in charge of Bristol City in March 2021© Reuters

Rowett will point to his team going five matches without suffering defeat at the second tier, an argument that Nigel Pearson will share regarding his Bristol City side.

The wait for a victory at Ashton Gate has been extended to 15 matches as a result of their 1-1 draw at home to Fulham on Saturday afternoon.

Nevertheless, collecting nine points from five matches has effectively kept Pearson in a job after an uninspiring opening six months in charge.

Bristol City are currently the form team on the road in the Championship with away victories being recorded at Reading, Cardiff City and Queens Park Rangers.

Millwall Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D

Millwall form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D

Bristol City Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D



Team News

Millwall's Jed Wallace celebrates scoring against Birmingham City in the Championship on February 17, 2021© Reuters

Connor Mahoney and Sheyi Ojo could retain their places in the Millwall side after lively performances against Forest.

Jed Wallace is unlikely to return to the team as he continues to recover from illness, but Billy Mitchell is an alternative in midfield if Rowett opts to introduce fresh legs.

Han-Noah Massengo remains absent for Bristol City as he continues to recover from an injury sustained at QPR earlier this month.

Pearson could match Millwall by switching to a back three, allowing for Nathan Baker to return to the defence and Jay Dasilva moving into the left wing-back role.

Kasey Palmer may be recalled to the starting lineup, with Andreas Weimann being preferred ahead of Nahki Wells in attack.

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Ballard, Hutchinson, Wallace; Leonard, Kieftenbeld, Saville, Malone; Mahoney, Ojo; Smith

Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Bentley; Kalas, Atkinson, Baker; Tanner, Bakinson, James, Dasilva; Palmer; Weimann, Martin


SM words green background

We say: Millwall 1-1 Bristol City

Given their form away from Ashton Gate, there is an argument that Bristol City deserve to be regarded as favourites for this contest. However, when Millwall are involved, we can only back a draw featuring hard work and a lack of goals.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 47.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Millwall vs Bristol City

Millwall
37.9%
Draw
36.2%
Bristol City
25.9%
58
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Nottingham Forest's Max Lowe celebrates scoring their first goal against Millwall in the Championship on September 25, 2021
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5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
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8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Millwall441411194355-1253
17Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
18Queens Park RangersQPR441311204157-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
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