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Bournemouth logo
Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 28, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Bristol City

Bournemouth
1 - 0
Bristol City

Danjuma (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: Bournemouth vs. Bristol City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship fixture between Bournemouth and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and lineups.

Bristol City travel to Bournemouth on Wednesday night as they look to get their run at promotion back on track, having gone three games without a win.

Bournemouth snatched a last-gasp equaliser away at Watford on the weekend while at the same time City were thankful for a late Nahki Wells penalty, helping them avoid consecutive home defeats as they drew with Swansea City.


Match preview

Bournemouth's Chris Mepham celebrates scoring against Watford with teammates on October 24, 2020© Reuters

Alongside league-leaders Reading, Bournemouth are the only other unbeaten side in the Championship and showed their fighting spirit against Watford to come away with a point.

Mepham went from zero to hero after his error allowed Cardiff City in to score and earn a 1-1 draw in South Wales. Three days later, the Wales international was in the right place at the right time to grab just his second goal for Cherries, deep into stoppage time for another 1-1, this time at Vicarage Road.

Against City, they will again face up to stern opposition and a team who - much like themselves - have their eyes set on mounting a real promotion challenge.

What will concern Cherries boss Jason Tindall is that since taking ten points from their opening four games, they have since drawn three on the spin, all of which have been low-scoring encounters.

Still, the Cherries sit in fourth place and will be aware that if they can string a few wins together, they could find themselves in the top two, such is the nature of the Championship.

Nahki Wells celebrates scoring for Bristol City against Stoke City on September 20, 2020© Reuters

Unlike Bournemouth, Bristol City have not quite shown the same consistency in recent weeks, and Dean Holden's side will be looking to put recent results behind them right away.

After winning their first four, the Robins have slipped to two draws and a home defeat to leave them five points adrift of leaders Reading.

City's slip in form has largely been down to their dip in attacking threat. Holden has begun rotating his front men and may continue to see mixed results until he finds himself with a settled starting lineup.

After facing Bournemouth, City will ready themselves for a tough fixture at home to Norwich City but will be buoyed by the fact that they have not lost to the Canaries in their last seven meetings.

Bournemouth Championship form: DWWDDD
Bournemouth form (all competitions): LWWDDD

Bristol City Championship form: WWWDLD
Bristol City form (all competitions): LWWDLD


Team News

Bristol City's Andreas Weimann in action with Stoke City's Jordan Cousins in the Championship on July 15, 2020© Reuters

Dean Holden mentioned in midweek that he is now down to just 19 first-team players after both Andreas Weimann and Steven Sessegnon came off injured on Saturday.

The 19 includes Liam Walsh and Joe Williams, who are not expected to return to the pitch this side of the next international break.

Chris Brunt - who made his first start in two years - may well get consecutive starts given Holden's injury woes.

As for Jason Tindall's selection, he believes this season's packed schedule played a part in the injury suffered by Jefferson Lerma against Watford and will have to assess the severity of the hamstring injury ahead of Tuesday's night's fixture.

With the Lerma injury in mind, Tindall may look to rest the likes of Arnaut Groeneveld, with Junior Stanislas the obvious replacement.

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Begovic; Mepham, Cook, Rico; Stacey, Billing, Gosling, Smith; Stanislas, Solanke, King

Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Bentley; Vyner, Moore, Kalas; Hunt, Paterson, Bakinson, Brunt, Rowe; Wells, Martin


SM words green background

We say: Bournemouth 1-1 Bristol City

Both sides will be looking to get back to winning ways, but equally, neither will want to lose this one and that is why we are expecting the early exchanges to be cagey. As the game opens up, we can see Bournemouth being the stronger of the two sides and they may well take the spoils.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:curl

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bournemouth in this match.


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Bournemouth manager Jason Tindall pictured on September 24, 2020
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