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Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Mar 1, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Rio Ave

Benfica
2 - 0
Rio Ave

Seferovic (59'), Pizzi (78')
Silva (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: Benfica vs. Rio Ave - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After their exit from the Europa League in midweek, Benfica welcome Rio Ave to the Estadio da Luz on Monday aiming to break a four-game winless streak in all competitions.

The hosts have the chance to complete a league double over their visitors, who they beat 3-0 in October's reverse fixture.


Match preview

Benfica coach Jorge Jesus in the Europa League on February 18, 2021© Reuters

Benfica were on course to qualify for the last 16 of the Europa League after taking a 2-1 lead on the hour mark against Arsenal, but they conceded twice in the final quarter of the game to lose 3-2.

Back home, Jorge Jesus's men are a long way behind in the title race as they currently trail the league leaders Sporting Lisbon by 15 points with 14 games left to play.

As Aguias are now faced with the task of securing a return to next year's Champions League, and that in itself would take some doing.

The hosts have often had great success on home turf this term, winning seven of their 10 league games to date, while losing just once.

Games against Monday's visitors have been one-sided in recent seasons, with Benfica winning each of the last five meetings by a combined score of 13-5.

Miguel Cardoso, now in charge of Rio Ave, pictured in 2018© Reuters

Rio Ave's three-game unbeaten run during which they picked up seven points from nine was ended by Famalicao on Sunday in a 1-0 defeat at the Estadio dos Arcos.

Miguel Cardoso's men were up against it right from the moment Nelson Monte received his marching orders for a reckless tackle with 15 minutes left in the first half.

The 10 men could not hold out for long as they were breached six minutes before half time by Ruben Vinagre's strike, which ultimately proved to be the decisive moment.

As a result of that loss, the Vilacondenses missed out on the opportunity to move above Santa Clara into eighth place on the log.

Benfica Primeira Liga form: DLDWDD
Benfica form (all competitions): WWDDDL

Rio Ave Primeira Liga form: LLDWWL


Team News

Rio Ave's Ivo Pinto with teammates after the match on January 15, 2021© Reuters

Nelson Monte is suspended for the game due to his sending-off last time out, leaving the door open for Ivo Pinto to feature on his return from a calf problem.

Nicolas Otamendi will also serve a one-game suspension here as he picked up his 10th domestic yellow card of the season in Benfica's last league outing.

Diogo Goncalves has made only one league start this campaign but after his excellent performance versus Arsenal, he could keep his place in the starting XI for this one.

Fabio Coentrao is in line to make his comeback from a thigh injury just in time for his side's visit to his former employers.

However, should the match be deemed too soon for him, then Bruno Savio and Pedro Amaral will battle it out for a starting berth at left-back.

Benfica possible starting lineup:
Leite; Grimaldo, Vertonghen, Verissimo, Gilberto; Everton, Taarabt, Pizzi, Goncalves; Seferovic, Waldschmidt

Rio Ave possible starting lineup:
Kieszek; Savio, Santos, Borevkovic, Pinto; Geraldes, Pele, Augusto; Mane, Dala, Camacho


SM words green background

We say: Benfica 2-0 Rio Ave

Benfica have had their struggles this season, but they have remained as dangerous as ever on home soil, and we are backing them to claim yet another home win against in a relatively comfortable manner.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.


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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25212275255065
2Benfica26204260213964
3Porto26184450183258
4Braga26165555342153
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes26155641271450
6MoreirenseMoreirense2612682827142
7AroucaArouca26104124337634
8FamalicaoFamalicao2561092430-628
9Gil Vicente2677123539-428
10BoavistaBoavista2677123351-1828
11Casa Pia2676132339-1627
12SC FarenseFarense2676133438-427
13Estrela Amadora2668122639-1326
14Estoril PraiaEstoril2674154249-725
15Rio AveRio Ave2641392635-925
16PortimonensePortimonense2665152453-2923
17Vizela2649132652-2621
18ChavesChaves2647152556-3119


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