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Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Oct 27, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio de Pituacu
Ceara

Bahia
1 - 1
Ceara

Gilberto (57')
Bahia (35'), Paraiba (38'), Araujo (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendoza (54')
Pacheco (32'), Cleber (81')
Cleber (83')

Preview: Bahia vs. Ceara - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Ceara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Just a point separates Bahia and Ceara ahead of their Campeonato Brasileiro meeting on Wednesday, and the fixture will see Bahia head coach Guto Ferreira face the club he was sacked from at the end of August.

Ceara head into the contest in 14th position - one place above their opponents - and the visitors are aiming to end a six-game winless run.


Match preview

Bahia's Luiz Otavio celebrates scoring their first goal on June 28, 2021© Reuters

After 23 games, Bahia were sat in 19th position with 23 points to their name, but a fine recent run of form has resulted in them exiting the relegation zone.

Bahia are currently on a four-match unbeaten run, which has seen them collect eight points in that period, and they ended the weekend two points clear of the relegation zone.

At the weekend, Bahia hosted bottom side Chapecoense with goals from Gilberto, Rai Nascimento and Luiz Otavio helping the home side to a 3-0 victory.

Ferreira's men's recent success has come courtesy of some impressive defensive displays, which has seen Bahia collect four consecutive clean sheets.

If Wednesday's hosts are to continue their unbeaten run then Gilberto is likely to be crucial to their efforts, with the striker looking to add to the 11 league goals he has scored this season.

Ceara's Saulo Mineiro with teammates after the match on June 20, 2021© Reuters

Ceara accumulated 28 points from 21 league games, but four points in their last six fixtures has seen Ceara drop slightly down the table.

Six games without a win will be a concern for Ceara, and they will be nervously looking over their shoulder after finishing the weekend just three points above the relegation zone.

Draws have been an issue this term for Ceara, with 14 of their league games ending all square and eight of those have come away from home.

Away form has also been a problem for Ceara, and they are still searching for their first away victory of the season.

No other team has scored fewer away goals than Ceara in the league this term, with Wednesday's visitors only scoring seven goals on their travels this season.

Bahia Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W

Ceara Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D



Team News

Bahia's Rossi celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 13, 2021© Reuters

Rossi is still unavailable for Bahia, with the forward absent due to a thigh problem.

Lucas Mugni will return to the starting lineup, after missing the previous encounter due to suspension, and that could mean Danielzinho drops to the bench.

Ferreira is likely to keep a front two, which means Bahia's top-scorer Gilberto will continue to partner Hugo Rodallega up front.

Meanwhile, Ceara have a few injury absentees, with Wendson and Vitor Jacare both missing, while Buiu is out for the rest of the season.

Fabinho came into the starting lineup against Juventude, and the midfielder is set to keep his place for the Bahia clash.

Bahia possible starting lineup:
Fernandes; Nino, Conti, Otavio, Bahia; Nascimento, Patrick, Mugni, Capixaba; Gilberto, Rodallega

Ceara possible starting lineup:
Riedi; Igor, Messias, Otavio, Pacheco; Fabinho, Marlon, Sobral; Erick, Lima, Cleber


SM words green background

We say: Bahia 1-1 Ceara

Bahia will fancy their chances against a Ceara side low on confidence, but with little to choose between the sides in the table, we think Ceara will have enough to collect a point.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Bahia vs Ceara

Bahia
52.9%
Draw
35.3%
Ceara
11.8%
17
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3JuventudeJuventude21103124
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6FortalezaFortaleza21103214
7Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR21014223
8Gremio21013213
9Botafogo21013303
10Vasco da GamaVasco21013303
11Bahia21013303
12PalmeirasPalmeiras21011103
13CriciumaCriciuma20202202
14Atletico Mineiro20201102
15Fluminense201134-11
16Corinthians201102-21
17Vitoria100101-10
18Sao Paulo200224-20
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO200213-20
20Cuiaba100104-40


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