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[monks data]
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 42
Oct 28, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Inter Miami

Atlanta
2 - 1
Inter Miami

Araujo (59'), Martinez (74')
Walkes (21'), Guzan (90+5'), Torres (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Higuain (32' pen.)
Figal (24'), Gonzalez Pirez (37'), Chapman (55'), Leerdam (57'), Higuain (67')

Preview: Atlanta United vs. Inter Miami - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Looking to pick up a third consecutive victory, Inter Miami visit the Mercedes Benz Stadium on Thursday to face off against Atlanta United.

The hosts currently hold a five-point lead over the visitors who are looking to make a late push to secure a playoff spot as the regular season enters into its final knockings.


Match preview

Atlanta United FC forward Josef Martinez (7) celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal against DC United at Audi Field on August 24, 2021© Reuters

Atlanta United were denied a fifth home win on the bounce following a 1-1 stalemate against New York City FC on Thursday.

Gonzalo Pineda's men took the lead in the 17th minute through Marcelino Moreno and were set to claim all three points before Gudmundur Thorarinsson restored parity in the final minute of normal time.

Currently seventh in the Eastern Conference, albeit only on goal difference, the Five Stripes are on course to reach the postseason, but there is still work to do with three round of matches still left to play.

Lying in store next for them is a crunch clash versus an opposing side who they have beaten just once in the last six meetings between the teams.

However, that solitary victory came in the most recent encounter last month, when Thursday's hosts claimed a narrow 1-0 triumph.

Inter Miami CF teammates celebrate on June 26, 2021© Reuters

Inter Miami were victorious on home turf for the second home game running courtesy of an emphatic 5-1 win over FC Cincinnati on Sunday.

Gonzalo Higuain scored twice either side of a Brandon Vazquez leveller to put his side in control before further goals from Indiana Vassilev, Lewis Morgan and Julian Carranza saw Phil Neville's men run riot at the DRV PNK Stadium.

Following a six-game losing run, the Herons have amassed six of the subsequent six points available, but it appears to be too little too late, as they are five points off the last playoff spot having played an extra game.

Thursday's visitors, who have scored the fewest goals away from home in the entire conference, will need to get going at the attacking end if they are to come out on top and keep their playoff hopes alive.

Atlanta United Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Inter Miami Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Marcelino Moreno has found the back of the net in each of his last two matches and will look to continue his fine form in front of goal.

Moreno's strike partner Josef Martinez scored the winner in September's clash between the sides and is expected to be recalled back into the starting XI after having to make do with a cameo off the bench last time out.

Following his brace versus Cincinnati, Gonzalo Higuain has now scored 11 times in 28 outings for the away side while also supplying nine assists in that time.

Kieran Gibbs and Ryan Shawcross will both miss the game through injury, and they are joined on the sidelines by Joevin Jones, Jorge Figal and Victor Ulloa.

Atlanta United possible starting lineup:
Guzan; Walkes, Franco, Robinson; Lennon, Rossetto, Sosa, Bello; Araujo, Martinez, Moreno

Inter Miami possible starting lineup:
Marsman; Shea, Makoun, Mabika, Leerdam; Gregore, Matuidi, F.Higuain; G.Higuain, Morgan, Pizarro


SM words green background

We say: Atlanta United 2-1 Inter Miami

With a playoff place on the cards for both sides, we expect an enthralling and end-to-end affair with neither team prepared to settle for a point. We are also backing the hosts to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Atlanta vs Inter Miami

Atlanta United
65.0%
Draw
20.0%
Inter Miami
15.0%
20
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami94321914515
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls8431117415
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
4Columbus Crew8341107313
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati833287112
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta7322127511
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC832398111
8DC United82421212010
9CF MontrealMontreal73131014-410
10Toronto8314812-410
11Chicago Fire82331114-39
12New York City FCNY City822479-28
13Orlando City7223813-58
14Nashville SCNashville7142813-57
15New England RevolutionNew England7115513-84

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy84311712515
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7412159613
3Houston DynamoHouston741297213
4Real Salt LakeSalt Lake8332118312
5Colorado RapidsColorado83321312112
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles83231312111
7St Louis City82511211111
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7322109111
9Sporting Kansas CityKansas82421413110
10Portland TimbersPortland8233161609
11Austin FCAustin82331113-29
12Seattle SoundersSeattle71339726
13Dallas7124610-45
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes81071020-103


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