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Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 4
Oct 1, 2020 at 6pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Cadiz logo
Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Cadiz

Villalibre (54'), Kodro (79'), Martinez (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lopez (57' og.)
Akapo (18'), Fali (41'), Negredo (63')
Akapo (48'), Negredo (70')

Preview: Athletic Bilbao vs. Cadiz - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga fixture between Athletic Bilbao and Cadiz, including team news and predicted lineups.

Athletic Bilbao go up against Cadiz in La Liga on Thursday evening looking to build on their narrow triumph over Eibar at the weekend.

Although the visitors only sit behind Bilbao on goal difference, the top-flight minnows have played a game more than their hosts.


Match preview

Athletic Bilbao boss Gaizka Garitano in March 2020.© Reuters

Having spent three seasons outside of the top seven, everyone associated with Athletic are eager to return to their former glories, where they were challenging for the top four and competing in either of the European competitions.

With club legend Aritz Aduriz hanging up his boots, there is a noticeable void in the dressing room, but Gaizka Garitano will hope that he is given the time to move this side forward.

Losing out to potential rivals Granada on matchday one would not have helped his cause, but Unai Lopez's late winner at Eibar has provided Garitano with something to work with heading into the next contest.

On paper, Athletic are the clear favourites to win each of their next four fixtures, and getting 12 points on their board from five matches would put a different spin on matters ahead of a sustained period of tougher encounters heading into the turn of the year.

From Cadiz's perspective, they are determined to make the most of their return to La Liga, just four years after they were down in the third tier of Spanish football.

Alvaro Cervera and his side are aware that they face an uphill task to avoid relegation from the top flight, something which they have not achieved since 1991-92.

Despite suffering defeats at home to Osasuna and Sevilla, El Submarino Amarillo will be content with their start to the campaign courtesy of the potentially-pivotal win at Huesca.

With Granada, Real Madrid and Villarreal to follow in succession, achieving three points from that game was imperative, and it should ease the pressure ahead of attempting to make it back-to-back wins on the road.

Athletic Bilbao La Liga form: LW

Cadiz La Liga form: LWL


Team News

Athletic Bilbao's Unai Nunez in action with Atletico Madrid's Diego Costa in La Liga on March 16, 2019© Reuters

Barring any late fitness issues, Garitano could retain the same starting XI for this contest.

Unai Nunez and Inaki Williams, key players in the side, will feature in defence and midfield respectively, but Ibai Gomez and Yeray Alvarez remain on the sidelines.

Cadiz boss Cervera may also consider sticking with the same set of players after their showing against Sevilla.

However, Alvaro Negredo, now 35 years of age, faces competition from Anthony Lozano for his place in the team.

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; Capa, Nunez, Martinez, Yuri; D.Garcia, Lopez; Williams, Muniain, Morcillo; R.Garcia

Cadiz possible starting lineup:
Cifuentes; Iza, Mauro, Cala, Espino; Mari, Jonsson; Sanchez, Fernandez, Pombo; Negredo


SM words green background

We say: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Cadiz

Despite the contrasting sizes of the two clubs, we expect this to be a tight contest. However, while Cadiz could push their more illustrious opponents all the way, we feel that Garitano's side will ultimately prevail on Thursday night.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.


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Granada players celebrate scoring against Athletic Bilbao on September 12, 2020
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid29226164204472
2Barcelona29197360342664
3GironaGirona29195559342562
4Athletic Bilbao29168550262456
5Atletico MadridAtletico29174854342055
6Real Sociedad291210742311146
7Real BetisBetis29101273433142
8Valencia28117103232040
9Villarreal29108114751-438
10Getafe2991193742-538
11Las PalmasLas Palmas29107122932-337
12Osasuna29106133343-1036
13AlavesAlaves2988132635-932
14Mallorca29612112535-1030
15Rayo Vallecano29611122538-1329
16Sevilla29610133644-828
17Celta Vigo2969143244-1227
18CadizCadiz29313132040-2022
19Granada2828183058-2814
20Almeria29110182857-2913

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