MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 16:15:49| >> :120:7732:7732:
[monks data]
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal
Tondela

Arouca
2 - 0
Tondela

Basso (31' pen.), Bukia (68')
Kouassi (35'), Pite (82'), Oleques (90'), Adilio (90+3')
Pite (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dadasov (24'), Sagnan (26'), Barbosa (50'), Khacef (63')

Preview: Arouca vs. Tondela - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Seeking to move clear of the relegation places, Arouca play host to Tondela in round 10 of the Primeira Liga at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca on Friday.

This will be the first top-flight meeting between the sides since Tondela secured a 2-1 win in May 2017 and both sides will be looking to get one over the other.


Match preview

Tondela's Salvador Agra celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in August 2021© Reuters

Arouca continue to struggle for form in the Portuguese top flight as they were held to an uneventful goalless draw by Pacos de Ferreira last Sunday.

In a game where Nuno Santos received his marching orders, the Arouquenses dominated proceedings but were constantly repelled by an inspired Andre Ferreira between the sticks, who made a plethora of saves to force a share of the spoils.

Prior to that, Arouca suffered an early exit from the Taca da Liga, where they lost on penalties against bottom-tier Leca at the Estadio do Leca two Sundays ago.

Armando Evangelista's men head into Friday's game without a win in any of their most recent seven outings across all competitions, losing four and picking up three draws since a 2-1 victory over Famalicao back in August.

This poor string of results has seen Arouca drop to 16th place in the standings, level on points with Famalicao and Santa Clara, and one point above rock-bottom Belenenses who are yet to taste victory this season.

This has been largely owing to their struggles away from home, where they have picked up just two points from 15 available and have conceded nine goals already.

Tondela players challenge for the all against Benfica in June 2020© Reuters

Tondela, on the other hand, saw their blistering run of results come to a halt last time out when they fell to a 3-1 defeat at the hands of title-chasing Porto at the Estadio Joao Cardoso.

After falling behind to Neto Borges's fourth-minute strike, 29-year-old forward Mehdi Taremi put on a clinic as he netted a hat-trick to turn the game around and hand the Dragons their seventh win of the season.

Prior to that, Pako Ayestaran's side were on a three-game winning run across all competitions, brushing aside Famalicao and Belenenses in the league before seeing off Camacha in the third round of the Taca de Portugal on October 16.

Having picked up nine points from their opening nine games, Tondela currently find themselves languishing in the bottom half of the table and this has been down to their defensive frailties as they boast one of the division's worst records with 17 goals shipped to date.

While the CDT Auriverdes will be looking to immediately return to winning ways, next up is an opposing side who have won half of the last 10 meetings between the sides, picking up two draws and five wins in that time.

Arouca Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D

Arouca form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

Tondela Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Tondela form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L


Team News

Pako Ayestaran, now in charge of Tondela, pictured in 2016© Reuters

Evangelista will be unable to call upon the midfield duo of Moses Yaw and Antony Santos, who continue their spells on the sidelines after sustaining knee and groin injuries respectively.

Sema Velazquez will play no part in the game after the Venezuelan defender picked up an Achilles' tendon injury while on international duty against Argentina on September 3.

Tondela, meanwhile, will take to the pitch without the services of Portuguese youngster Jota Goncalves, who picked up a knee injury against Estoril Praia on September 13.

Iker Undabarrena is also out of contention for the CDT Auriverdes after the Spanish midfielder received his marching orders in the game against Porto last time out.

Arouca possible starting lineup:
Castro; Thales, Ba, Basso, Quaresma; Valderrama, Pite, Moreira; Bukia, Araujo, Silva

Tondela possible starting lineup:
Niasse; Borges, Manu, Khacef, Almeida; Bebeto, Augusto, Pedro; Murillo, Agra, Dadasov


SM words green background

We say: Arouca 1-2 Tondela

Newly-promoted Arouca have struggled to get going in the top flight and face the risk of an immediate return to the Segunda Liga after a horrid start to the season. Despite their defeat last time out, Tondela head into the game in solid form and we predict they will claim all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:468462:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9756:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Arouca vs Tondela

Arouca
23.9%
Draw
23.9%
Tondela
52.2%
46
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Sporting Lisbon's Luis Neto and Paulinho look dejected on September 28, 2021
Read Next:
Saturday's Primeira Liga predictions including Arouca vs. Sporting Lisbon
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
10am
Blanch
Nadal
Result
Cachin
Ofner
6 6
3 3
Result
Elahi Galan
Bautista-Agut
64 6 1
77 4 6
Result
Gasquet
Sonego
2 5
6 7
Result
Hanfmann
Mensik
4 63
6 77
10am
Koepfer
Carballes Baena
10am
Kovacevic
Medjedovic
Result
Lajovic
Monteiro
4 3
6 6
Result
Machac
Ruusuvuori
6 1 6
4 6 2
10am
Michelsen
Fonseca
Result
Nishioka
Auger-Aliassime
6 1 4
4 6 6
Result
O'Connell
Arnaldi
4 1
6 6
Result
Purcell
Giron
4 6 77
6 4 62
10am
Ramos-Vinolas
Kotov
Result
Tabilo
Cobolli
7 4 4
5 6 6
Result
Zhizhen
Kecmanovic
3 2
6 6
Result
Azarenka
Maria
6 6
3 1
10am
Eala
Cirstea
10am
Annie Fernandez
Potapova
Result
Gauff
Rus
6 6
0 0
Result
Keys
Camelia-Begu
77 78
63 66
Result
Podoroska
Navarro
2 1
6 6
10am
Karolina Schmiedlova
Jabeur
10am
Swiatek
Wang
10am
Baez
Van Assche
10am
Coric
Zverev
10am
Martin Etcheverry
Shapovalov
10am
Humbert
Van De Zandschulp
10am
Hurkacz
Draper
10am
Marozsan
Cerundolo
10am
Paul
Klein
10am
Rublev
Bagnis
10am
Alexandrova
Krueger
10am
Andreeva
Noskova
10am
Bejlek
Kalinskaya
10am
Boulter
Montgomery
10am
Bronzetti
Rybakina
10am
Collins
Danilovic
3pm
Cristian
Krejcikova
10am
Dolehide
Kalinina
10am
Garcia
Wang
10am
Linette
Sabalenka
10am
Pavlyuchenkova
Saville
Result
Sorribes Tormo
Svitolina
6 7
3 5
Result
Vekic
Sakkari
3 2
6 6
Result
Arango
Yastremska
6 5 4
0 7 6
Result
Osaka
Samsonova
2 6 5
6 4 7
Result
Ostapenko
Bouzas Maneiro
6 6
3 1
Result
Haddad Maia
Errani
6 6
3 2
2.30pm
Lourdes Carle
Kudermetova
2.30pm
Mertens
Stephens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca301351251401144
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Casa Pia3088143043-1332
10SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
11Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
12Gil Vicente3087153748-1131
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!