MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 23:39:10| >> :600:617944:617944:
[monks data]
Aberdeen logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Motherwell logo

Aberdeen
2 - 0
Motherwell

Hoban (15'), Considine (77')
Wright (26'), Ojo (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gallagher (5'), Polworth (26')
Polworth (48')

Preview: Aberdeen vs. Motherwell - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Motherwell make the long trip north from Lanarkshire to face Aberdeen this Saturday afternoon, with new boss Graham Alexander hoping that the Steelmen can build on their home draw last week with title favourites Rangers.

Dons boss Derek McInnes has found himself coming under increasing pressure in recent weeks, and none of it was alleviated by the shock 4-1 defeat away at Ross County last weekend.


Match preview

Aberdeen manager Derek McInnes pictured in November 22, 2020© Reuters

Aberdeen head into this game under something of a cloud despite being in fourth place in the Scottish Premiership table and in contention for a European place.

A banner has appeared outside of Pittodrie calling for McInnes's dismissal, with the Dons having followed up a 2-1 defeat at home to Rangers with that emphatic loss at Ross County.

That banner prompted Dons club legend Willie Miller to mount a staunch defence of McInnes in the Scottish press, with the European Cup Winners' Cup-winning former centre-back declaring that he thinks Aberdeen can finish third in the league and win a cup this season.

Not many Dons fans would currently appear to agree with that assessment, but Aberdeen's form was far from disastrous before their two recent defeats.

Since exiting the League Cup at the hands of St Mirren in November, the Dons were unbeaten in six games before losing their last two.

Aberdeen have finished in the top four every season that McInnes has been in charge, but he desperately needs a win this weekend to start to get the fans back onside, as well as maintain the pressure on third-placed Hibernian in the league table.

New Motherwell boss Graham Alexander has made a solid start to his reign at Fir Park after taking over from Stephen Robinson on January 7.

The Steelmen have played two games since then, both of which have ended in 1-1 draws. The first of those was at St Mirren, and 'Well could consider themselves unlucky to come away from Paisley with just a point after a fine performance.

They gained a much more satisfying point against Rangers last Sunday at Fir Park, leading against table-topping Gers, thanks to a 21st-minute goal from Devante Cole, until Cedric Itten's 79th-minute equaliser.

Alexander and his team are sure to have half an eye on the result from Ibrox on Saturday too, as if Ross County lose to Rangers then the Steelmen can climb above them in the table.

The new manager will want a win, not just to get the first three-pointer of his reign, but also because 'Well have now not won in their last 11 Premiership matches.

They are sure to fancy their chances, having kept a clean sheet in their last three matches against Aberdeen in all competitions.

Aberdeen Scottish Premiership form: WDWDLL

Motherwell Scottish Premiership form: DDLLDD


Team News

Aberdeen are set to welcome back Welsh international Ryan Hedges after the forward missed the defeat in Dingwall after receiving a red card against Rangers.

His presence is sure to provide a lift as he has bagged eight goals in all competitions in 2020-21.

The Dons have a number of injury absentees, however, with Ross McCrorie one of them. The Scotland Under-21 skipper suffered an ankle injury against Ross County that will keep him out for two or three weeks.

Republic of Ireland international Jonny Hayes also has an ankle injury, though he is in with a faint hope of playing this weekend.

Ash Taylor was substituted against the Staggies after half an hour due to a back spasm; he is a doubt for the weekend but may yet recover in time to play a part against Motherwell.

Connor McLennan is definitely out with his ankle injury now requiring the attention of a specialist. Greg Leigh and Dylan McGeouch remain long-term absentees as they recover from hamstring and groin injuries respectively.

For Motherwell, Liam Donnelly remains sidelined with a knee injury, while Charles Dunne's groin injury makes him a doubt.

Goalkeepers Trevor Carson and Scott Fox remain long-term absentees with Liam Kelly, on loan from Queens Park Rangers, set to keep his place between the sticks.

Aberdeen possible starting lineup:
Lewis; Hoban, Taylor, Considine; Kennedy, Campbell, Ferguson, Hayes; Wright; Main, Cosgrove

Motherwell possible starting lineup:
Kelly; O'Donnell, Mugabi, Gallagher, Carroll; O'Hara, Campbell, Polworth; Seedorf, Cole, Watt


SM words green background

We say: Aberdeen 1-1 Motherwell

We suspect that Motherwell will record their third successive draw this weekend, with 1-1 a likely outcome.

The Steelmen look a hard side to beat under Alexander's stewardship, while confidence at Aberdeen looks very low, and we cannot see the Dons claiming all three points, even on home soil.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


ID:431521: cacheID:431521:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:9179:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
General view of St Mirren Park from 2009
Read Next:
St Mirren lose Kristian Dennis ahead of Motherwell visit
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
10am
Bublik
Carballes Baena
10am
Marozsan
Cerundolo
10am
Musetti
Seyboth Wild
10am
Paul
Klein
10am
Rublev
Bagnis
10am
Andreeva
Noskova
10am
Bronzetti
Rybakina
10am
Garcia
Wang
10am
Pavlyuchenkova
Saville
11.30am
Altmaier
Fils
11.30am
Martin Etcheverry
Shapovalov
11.30am
Alexandrova
Krueger
11.30am
Bucsa
Kasatkina
11.30am
Dolehide
Kalinina
11.30am
Jimenez Kasintseva
Paolini
11.30am
Linette
Sabalenka
1pm
Baez
Van Assche
1pm
Hurkacz
Draper
1pm
Bejlek
Kalinskaya
1pm
Cristian
Krejcikova
1pm
Kostyuk
Sherif
2pm
Zheng
Putintseva
2.30pm
Humbert
Van De Zandschulp
2.30pm
Darderi
Fritz
2.30pm
Boulter
Montgomery
3pm
Shevchenko
Alcaraz
3.30pm
Vondrousova
Rogers
4pm
Griekspoor
Daniel
4pm
Munar
Struff
5pm
Navone
Rune
7pm
Coric
Zverev
8.30pm
Collins
Danilovic
11.30am
Shang
Davidovich Fokina
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000080265478
2RangersRangers000072234975
3Hearts000046341262
4Kilmarnock00004334951
5St Mirren00003843-543
6Dundee00004454-1041
Relegation Group
1Hibernian00004451-739
2Motherwell00004651-537
3Aberdeen00003549-1435
4St Johnstone00002446-2231
5Ross County00003256-2430
6Livingston00002259-3718
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!